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Finance and Growth in Developing Countries: Sound Principles and Unreliable Evidence

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Author Info
Valpy FitzGerald (QEH)
Abstract

Financial development and economic growth are clearly related, yet the institutional channels and even the direction of causality remain unresolved theoretical issues. None the less, and despite the persistence of a wide range of organizational forms in advanced economies, strong causality from particular forms of organization of financial institutions towards rapid economic growth has become a central axiom of orthodox development economics, recently strengthened by the empirical findings of 'new institutional' economists. This chapter argues that this canonical literature is deeply flawed both methodologically and empirically. Further, the observed consequences of financial liberalisation for savings and investment on the one hand, and for macroeconomic stability on the other, suggest that an alternative interpretation of the relationship between finance and growth in developing countries is more plausible: leading to quite different policy prescriptions.

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Paper provided by Queen Elizabeth House, University of Oxford in its series QEH Working Papers with number qehwps153.

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Handle: RePEc:qeh:qehwps:qehwps153

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  1. Mathieson, Donald J., 1980. "Financial reform and stabilization policy in a developing economy," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 359-395, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Javier Andrés & Ignacio Hernando & J. David López-Salido, 1999. "The Role of the Financial System in the Growth-Inflation Link: the OECD Experience," Banco de España Working Papers 9920, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Robert S. Pindyck & Andres Solimano, 1993. "Economic Instability and Aggregate Investment," NBER Working Papers 4380, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Mankiw, N Gregory, 1986. "The Allocation of Credit and Financial Collapse," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 101(3), pages 455-70, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Arestis, Philip & Demetriades, Panicos O, 1997. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Assessing the Evidence," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 107(442), pages 783-99, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Ghani, Ejaz, 1992. "How financial markets affect long run growth : a cross country study," Policy Research Working Paper Series 843, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  9. Helmut Reisen, 1998. "Domestic Causes of Currency Crises: Policy Lessons for Crisis Avoidance," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 136, OECD Development Centre. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Levine, Ross & Loayza, Norman & Beck, Thorsten, 2000. "Financial intermediation and growth: Causality and causes," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 31-77, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Javier Andrés & Ignacio Hernando & J. David López-Salido, 1999. "The Role of the Financial System in the Growth-Inflation Link: the OECD Experience," Banco de España Working Papers 9920, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes & Andrei Shleifer & Robert W. Vishny, 1998. "Law and Finance," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(6), pages 1113-1155, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Michael Leahy & Sebastian Schich & Gert Wehinger & Florian Pelgrin & Thorsteinn Thorgeirsson, 2001. "Contributions of Financial Systems to Growth in OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 280, OECD Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  15. King, Robert G & Levine, Ross, 1993. "Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might Be Right," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 108(3), pages 717-37, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Ajit Singh, 2003. "Capital Account Liberalization, Free Long-Term Capital Flows, Financial Crises and Economic Development," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 29(2), pages 191-216, Spring. [Downloadable!]
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