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Searching for the parallel growth of cities

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  • Chen, Zhihong
  • Fu, Shihe
  • Zhang, Dayong

Abstract

Three urban growth theories predict parallel growth of cities. The endogenous growth theory predicts deterministic parallel growth; the random growth theory implies that city growth follows Gibrat’s law with a steady-state distribution; and the hybrid growth theory suggests the co-movement of random city growth. This paper uses the Chinese city size data from 1984-2006 and time series econometric techniques to test for parallel growth. The results from various types of stationarity tests on pooled heterogeneous cities show that city growth is random. However, once growth trend and structural change are taken into account, certain groups of cities with common group characteristics, such as similar natural resource endowment or policy regime, grow parallel.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 21528.

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Date of creation: 19 Mar 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:21528

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Keywords: Urban growth; Parallel growth; Zipf’s law; Unit root; Structural change;

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Cited by:
  1. Michel DIMOU & Alexandra SCHAFFAR & Zhihong CHEN & Shihe FU, 2008. "La Croissance Urbaine Chinoise Reconsidérée," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 27, pages 109-131.

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