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Dynamics in Aceh and North Sumatera after the Twin Disasters: An Investigation into the Relevance of the Locational Fundamental Theory

Author

Listed:
  • Aloysius Gunadi Brata

    (VU University Amsterdam, and Atma Jaya Yogyakarta University)

  • Henri L.F. de Groot

    (VU University Amsterdam, and Ecorys NEI, Rotterdam)

  • Piet Rietveld

    (VU University Amsterdam)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of the Indian Ocean Tsunami in 2004 and the Nias earthquake in 2005 on population dynamic across regions in Aceh and North Sumatera. We find no evidence that the disasters affected the regularity of size-distribution of the regions. The estimates of a population growth model yield clear evidence that the disasters had only a temporary impact. This study provides indicative evidence for the relevance of the locational fundamental theory and rejects the random growth explanation.

Suggested Citation

  • Aloysius Gunadi Brata & Henri L.F. de Groot & Piet Rietveld, 2013. "Dynamics in Aceh and North Sumatera after the Twin Disasters: An Investigation into the Relevance of the Locational Fundamental Theory," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-115/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20130115
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Aloysius Gunadi Brata & Piet Rietveld & Henri L.F. de Groot & Wouter Zant, 2013. "The Krakatau Eruption in 1883: Its Implications for the Spatial Distribution of Population in Java," Economic History of Developing Regions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 27-55, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    natural disaster; population growth; rank-size distribution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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