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Healthcare expenditure projections up to 2060

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  • Colombier, Carsten

Abstract

A key concern of this study is to evaluate the increase in healthcare expenditure as a result of an ageing Swiss population and to highlight the resulting financial burden for the public finances and mandatory basic healthcare insurance. In addition, the study also shows the adjustment levers through which healthcare policy can influence expenditure development in the healthcare system. In addition to the ageing of the population per se, the costs of healthcare are also significantly influenced by the relationship between increasing life expectancy and the state of health of the population (morbidity rate) on the one hand, and non-demographic cost drivers such as advances in medical technology and Baumol’s cost disease (the “Baumol Effect”) on the other.

Suggested Citation

  • Colombier, Carsten, 2012. "Healthcare expenditure projections up to 2060," MPRA Paper 104919, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:104919
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/104919/1/MPRA_paper_104919.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Braendle, Thomas & Colombier, Carsten, 2016. "What drives public health care expenditure growth? Evidence from Swiss cantons, 1970–2012," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(9), pages 1051-1060.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    healthcare expenditure; long-term care expenditure; population ageing; fiscal sustainability; public budget; mandatory healthcare insurance; health policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health
    • I13 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Insurance, Public and Private
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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