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Modelling Illegal Drug Participation in Australia

Author

Listed:
  • Sarah Brown

    (Department of Economics, University of Sheffield)

  • Mark N Harris

    (School of Economics and Finance, Curtin University)

  • Preety Srivastava

    (Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University)

Abstract

We contribute to the small, but important, literature exploring the incidence and implications of mis-reporting in survey data. Specifically, when modelling ?social bads such as illegal drug consumption, researchers are often faced with exceptionally low reported participation rates. We propose a modelling framework where firstly an individual decides whether to participate or not and, secondly for participants there is a subsequent decision to mis-report or not. We explore misreporting in the context of the consumption of a system of drugs and specify a multivariate inflated probit model. Compared to observed participation rates of 12, 3 and 1.3% (for marijuana, speed and cocaine, respectively) true participation rates are estimated to be some 5 percentage points higher for marijuana, and nearly double for cocaine. There was an estimated 36% (18%) percent chance that a cocaine (marijuana) user would mis-report their participation. Less evidence of mis-reporting was found for speed users.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarah Brown & Mark N Harris & Preety Srivastava, 2013. "Modelling Illegal Drug Participation in Australia," Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre Working Paper series WP1303, Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School.
  • Handle: RePEc:ozl:bcecwp:wp1303
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sarah Brown & Mark N. Harris & Jake Prendergast & Preety Srivastava, 2015. "Pharmaceutical drug misuse: are industry of employment and occupation risk factors?," Industrial Relations Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5-6), pages 398-417, November.
    2. Sarah Brown & Mark N Harris & Jake Prendergast & Preety Srivastava, 2015. "Pharmaceutical Drug Misuse, Industry of Employment and Occupation," Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre Working Paper series WP1501, Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School.
    3. William Greene & Mark N. Harris & Preety Srivastava & Xueyan Zhao, 2018. "Misreporting and econometric modelling of zeros in survey data on social bads: An application to cannabis consumption," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 372-389, February.
    4. Sarah Brown & Mark N. Harris & Preety Srivastava & Karl Taylor, 2018. "Mental Health and Reporting Bias: Analysis of the GHQ - 12," Working Papers 2018013, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Discrete data; illegal drug consumption; inflated responses; mis-reporting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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