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Beyond Bipolar: A Three-Dimensional Assessment of Monetary Frameworks

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Author Info
Kenneth N. Kuttner () (Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045)
Adam S. Posen () (Institute for International Economics, 11 Dupont Circle NW, Washington, DC 20036)

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Abstract

A great deal of attention has been focused recently on the impact of exchange rate regimes, just as previous empirical research examined central bank autonomy and announced targets for domestic monetary policy. To date, however, these three elements of monetary frameworks have been assessed in isolation from one another, and all have been viewed in terms of a unidimensional spectrum of fixity versus flexibility. Using a newly-constructed dataset, this paper jointly analyzes and compares all three elementsÂ’ effects on inflation and exchange rate behavior. The results show that each of the three elements has independent and distinct effects on nominal outcomes. Key findings include: (1) although hard pegs do tend to reduce inflation and attenuate exchange rate fluctuations within some range, they are clearly characterized by large devaluations; (2) central bank autonomy is associated with a more stable exchange rate and lower inflation; and (3) explicit inflation targeting reduces both inflation and its persistence, consistent with the view that inflation targeting increases flexibility through transparency. These results raise the possibility that a combination of central bank autonomy, inflation targeting, and a free float might offer the same benefits as any intermediate exchange rate regime on its own, without the proclivity to occasional large depreciations.

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Paper provided by Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) in its series Working Papers with number 52.

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Length: 51 pages
Date of creation: 25 Sep 2001
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Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbwp:52

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Yifan Hu, 2003. "Empirical Investigations of Inflation Targeting," Peterson Institute Working Paper Series WP03-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Eichengreen, Barry & Taylor, Alan M, 2003. "The Monetary Consequences of A Free Trade Area of the Americas," CEPR Discussion Papers 3909, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Denise Osborn & Marianne Sensier, 2007. "UK inflation: persistance, seasonality and monetary policy," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 0716, Economics, The University of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Giuseppe Ciccarone & Enrico Marchetti, 2008. "Linear Contracts, Common Agency and Central Bank Preference Uncertainty," Working Papers 115, Sapienza University of Rome, Department of Public Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2001. "The Lag from Monetary Policy Actions to Inflation: Friedman Revisited," Discussion Papers 06, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Bersch, Julia & Klüh, Ulrich H., 2007. "When countries do not do what they say: Systematic discrepancies between exchange rate regime announcements and de facto policies," Discussion Papers in Economics 2072, University of Munich, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Taner Yigit, 2007. "Inflation Targeting : An Indirect Approach to Assess the Direct Impact," Departmental Working Papers 0706, Bilkent University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  17. Giuseppe Ciccarone & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Enrico Marchetti, 2005. "Unions, fiscal policy and central bank transparency," Macroeconomics 0508004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  18. Giuseppe Ciccarone & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Enrico Marchetti, 2005. "Supply-Side Fiscal Policy, Conservativeness, And Central Bank Transparency," Working Papers 77, Sapienza University of Rome, Department of Public Economics. [Downloadable!]
  19. Alicia García Herrero & Pedro del Río López, 2003. "Implications of the design of monetary policy for financial stability," Macroeconomics 0304008, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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