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Unemployment Duration in the United Kingdom: An Incomplete Data Approach

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  • Ralf Wilke

Abstract

For the evaluation of policy reforms numerous governments use, among other sources, administrative social security data. Although this data is large and contains detailed information about policy measures, it inherits several limitations due to the administrative process of generating data. This paper explores the implications of missing interval information in data from the UK (JUVOS) for the analysis of unemployment duration. Variants of the JUVOS are used by the labour administration and the research community as an important source for the analysis of unemployment. While previous work has mentioned the relevant data limitations, they were not taken into account in the empirical approaches. The econometric analysis in this paper shows that competing implementations of unemployment duration in the data yield partly unstable empirical result pattern even in presence of a huge number of observations.

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Paper provided by University of Nottingham, School of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 09/02.

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Handle: RePEc:not:notecp:09/02

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Postal: School of Economics University of Nottingham University Park Nottingham NG7 2RD
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Web page: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/economics/
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Keywords: Administrative Data; Missing Information; Competing Risks;

References

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  1. Lee, Sokbae & Wilke, Ralf A., 2005. "Reform of Unemployment Compensation in Germany: A Nonparametric Bounds Analysis Using Register Data," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research 05-29, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
  2. Peter Dolton & Donal O'Neill, 2002. "The Long-Run Effects of Unemployment Monitoring and Work-Search Programs: Experimental Evidence from the United Kingdom," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, University of Chicago Press, vol. 20(2), pages 381-403, Part.
  3. Wichert, Laura & Wilke, Ralf A., 2007. "Simple nonparametric estimators for unemployment duration analysis," FDZ Methodenreport, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany] 200709_en, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
  4. Lüdemann, Elke & Wilke, Ralf A. & Zhang, Xuan, 2004. "Censored Quantile Regressions and the Length of Unemployment Periods in West Germany," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research 04-57, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
  5. Blundell, Richard William & Costa Dias, Monica & Meghir, Costas & Van Reenen, John, 2003. "Evaluating the Employment Impact of a Mandatory Job Search Programme," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 3786, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  6. Kruppe, Thomas & Müller, Eva & Wichert, Laura & Wilke, Ralf A., 2007. "On the Definition of Unemployment and its Implementation in Register Data: The Case of Germany," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research 07-041, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
  7. Richard Blundell & Monica Costa Dias & Costas Meghir & John Van Reenen, 2001. "Evaluating the employment impact of a mandatory job search assistance program," IFS Working Papers, Institute for Fiscal Studies W01/20, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  8. Duncan McVicar & Jan M. Podivinsky, 2009. "How Well Has The New Deal For Young People Worked In The Uk Regions?," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 56(2), pages 167-195, 05.
  9. van den Berg, Gerard J & van Ours, Jan C, 1994. "Unemployment Dynamics and Duration Dependence in France, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, Royal Economic Society, vol. 104(423), pages 432-43, March.
  10. David Card & Raj Chetty & Andrea Weber, 2007. "The Spike at Benefit Exhaustion: Leaving the Unemployment System or Starting a New Job?," NBER Working Papers 12893, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  11. Melanie Arntz & Ralf Wilke, 2009. "Unemployment Duration in Germany: Individual and Regional Determinants of Local Job Finding, Migration and Subsidized Employment," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(1), pages 43-61.
  12. Fitzenberger, Bernd & Wilke, Ralf A., 2004. "Unemployment Durations in West-Germany Before and After the Reform of the Unemployment Compensation System During the 1980s," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research 04-24, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
  13. Wilke, Ralf A. & Lo, Simon M. S. & Arntz, Melanie, 2007. "Bounds Analysis of Competing Risks: A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Imigration in Germany," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research 07-049, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
  14. McVicar, Duncan & Jan M Podivinsky, 2003. "Unemployment Duration Before and After New Deal," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003, Royal Economic Society 153, Royal Economic Society.
  15. Adriaan S. Kalwij, 2004. "Unemployment Experiences of Young Men: on the Road to Stable Employment?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(2), pages 205-237, 05.
  16. Alex Bryson & Diana Kasparova, 2003. "Profiling benefit claimants in Britain: a feasibility study," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library 4991, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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Cited by:
  1. Philip Ball & Ralf Wilke, . "Job seeker's allowance in Great Britain: How does the regional labour market affect the duration until job finding?," Discussion Papers, University of Nottingham, School of Economics 09/03, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.

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