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Medium Term Business Cycles in Developing Countries

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Author Info
Diego A. Comin
Norman Loayza
Farooq Pasha
Luis Serven

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Abstract

We build a two country asymmetric DSGE model with two features: (i) a product cycle structure determines the range of intermediate goods used to produce new capital in each country and (ii) there are investment flow adjustment costs in the developing economy. We calibrate the model to match the Mexico-US trade and FDI flows. The model is able to explain (i) why US shocks have a larger effect on Mexico than in the US and hence why the Mexican economy is more volatile than the US; (ii) why US business cycles lead over medium term fluctuations in Mexico and (iii) why Mexican consumption is not less volatile than output.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 15428.

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Date of creation: Oct 2009
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:15428

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
F1 - International Economics - - Trade
F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
O3 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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