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Growth And Capital Deepening Since 1870: Is It All Technological Progress?

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Author Info
Jakob B. Madsen

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Abstract

Based on an asset pricing model this paper shows that traditional growth accounting exercises attribute too much weight to capital deepening and suggests a method to filter out TFP-induced capital-deepening from the estimates. Using data for 16 industrialised countries, it is shown that labour productivity and capital deepening have been driven by total factor productivity and reductions in the required stock returns over the past 137 years. Furthermore, it is shown that TFP precedes the K-L ratio and not the other way around.

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File URL: http://www.buseco.monash.edu.au/eco/research/papers/2009/1009growthmadsen.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Monash University, Department of Economics in its series Monash Economics Working Papers with number 10/09.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: 02 May 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mos:moswps:2009-10

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Postal: Department of Economics, Monash University, Victoria 3800, Australia
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Related research
Keywords: Growth accounting; TFP growth; required stock returns; endogeneity;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
O47 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Madsen, Jakob B., 2007. "Technology spillover through trade and TFP convergence: 135 years of evidence for the OECD countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 464-480, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Griliches, Zvi, 1986. "Economic data issues," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 25, pages 1465-1514 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Madsen, Jakob B, 1998. "General Equilibrium Macroeconomic Models of Unemployment: Can They Explain the Unemployment Path in the OECD?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 108(448), pages 850-67, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2002. "The Equity Premium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(2), pages 637-659, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Prescott, Edward C, 1998. "Needed: A Theory of Total Factor Productivity," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(3), pages 525-51, August.
    Other versions:
  6. Olivier J. Blanchard, 1993. "Movements in the Equity Premium," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 24(1993-2), pages 75-138. [Downloadable!]
  7. Jakob B Madsen & E Philip Davis, 2006. "Equity Prices, Productivity Growth and 'The New Economy'," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(513), pages 791-811, 07. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Magnus Blomstrom & Robert E. Lipsey & Mario Zejan, 1996. "Is Fixed Investment the Key to Economic Growth?," NBER Working Papers 4436, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Peter Klenow & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 1997. "The Neoclassical Revival in Growth Economics: Has It Gone Too Far?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12, pages 73-114 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  10. Kao, Chihwa, 1999. "Spurious regression and residual-based tests for cointegration in panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 1-44, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Philippe Aghion & Peter Howitt, 2007. "Capital, innovation, and growth accounting," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 79-93, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Scott L. Baier & Gerald P. Dwyer & Robert Tamura, 2006. "How Important are Capital and Total Factor Productivity for Economic Growth?," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 44(1), pages 23-49, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Barry Bosworth & Susan M. Collins, 2008. "Accounting for Growth: Comparing China and India," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 22(1), pages 45-66, Winter.
  14. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  15. Michael T. Kiley, 2004. "Stock Prices and Fundamentals: A Macroeconomic Perspective," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 77(4), pages 909-936, October. [Downloadable!]
  16. Madsen, Jakob B., 2004. "Price and wage stickiness during the Great Depression," European Review of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(03), pages 263-295, December. [Downloadable!]
  17. Chang-Tai Hsieh, 2002. "What Explains the Industrial Revolution in East Asia? Evidence From the Factor Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(3), pages 502-526, June. [Downloadable!]
  18. Dr. Peter Kenning & Hilke Plassmann, 2004. "NeuroEconomics," Experimental 0412005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  19. Young, Alwyn, 1995. "The Tyranny of Numbers: Confronting the Statistical Realities of the East Asian Growth Experience," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 110(3), pages 641-80, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jakob B. Madsen, . "The Anatomy of Growth in the OECD since 1870: the Transformation from the Post-Malthusian Growth Regime to the Modern Growth Epoch," Monash Economics Working Papers 2009-14, Monash University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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