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Budget Balance And Trade Balance:Kin Or Strangers. A Case Study Of Taiwan

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  • Hsiao-chuan Chang

Abstract

In line with the deterioration of Taiwanese budget deficits, the trade surplus has also decreased. It is the ideal time to investigate the relationship between budget balances and trade balances. Unit root tests, cointegration tests, Granger causality tests and the VARs model are techniques used to test the Keynesian proposition and the Ricardian equivalence. The main findings are that Keynesian proposition is supported only by the model using data of the whole period. There is no support for the Ricardian equivalence. That budget balances and trade balances being kin or strangers varies over periods of data used.

Suggested Citation

  • Hsiao-chuan Chang, 2004. "Budget Balance And Trade Balance:Kin Or Strangers. A Case Study Of Taiwan," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 893, The University of Melbourne.
    • Handle: RePEc:mlb:wpaper:893
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    File URL: http://www.economics.unimelb.edu.au/downloads/wpapers-04/893.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Shankar Prasad Acharya, 2009. "Verification of Causality through VAR and Intervention Analysis: Econometric Modeling on Budget Deficit and Trade Deficit in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 21, pages 1-30, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Keynesian proposition; Ricardian equivalence; unit root tests; Grangercausality tests; VARs model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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