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The impact of a rise in transportation costs on firm performance and behaviour

Author

Listed:
  • Catarina Branco
  • Dirk C. Dohse
  • João Pereira Santos
  • José Tavares

Abstract

This paper uses micro-level data encompassing the universe of Portuguese private firms for the period 2006-2016 to analyse the effect of the introduction of tolls on previously toll-free highways. To establish causality, we rely on a natural experiment which resulted from Portuguese authorities being forced to in- crease these transportation costs in some highways during the sovereign debt crisis. Difference-in-differences results show a 10.7% decrease of turnover in firms located in affected municipalities vis-Ã -vis firms in the remaining areas, on average. Firm profits were also severely hit and reduced by more than 15%. Both sales and purchases to/from the internal market and abroad (especially to/from EU countries) were affected. Furthermore, employment reduced 2% in treated areas. Importantly, our findings do not uncover induced inter-regional firm migration, suggesting that the tolls have induced a substantial net loss to the Portuguese economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Catarina Branco & Dirk C. Dohse & João Pereira Santos & José Tavares, 2022. "The impact of a rise in transportation costs on firm performance and behaviour," GEE Papers 0167, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Sep 2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:mde:wpaper:0167
    as

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    File URL: https://www.gee.gov.pt//RePEc/WorkingPapers/GEE_PAPERS_167.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Road tolls; Turnover; Expenses; Value Added; Exports; Imports; Competitiveness; Portugal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R48 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government Pricing and Policy
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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