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Wage and (Un-)Employment Effects of an Ageing Workforce

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Author Info
Jochen Michaelis () (University of Kassel, Nora-Platiel-Str. 4, D-34127 Kassel)
Martin Debus (University of Kassel, Nora-Platiel-Str. 4, D-34127 Kassel)

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Abstract

In almost all Western economies the median age of the workforce is increasing due to demographic factors. Given the empirical fact that workers of different ages are not perfect substitutes in production, this paper explores how change in the age pattern affects wages and (un)employment. We develop a general equilibrium model where wages for young and old workers are set by monopoly unions at the firm-level. Contrary to the common wisdom on this topic, we show that an increase in the relative number of older workers for a given labor force size has no effect on young and old unemployment. If, however, unions attach a higher weight to the wishes of the old, the unemployment rate of the old (young) will increase (decrease). In this case we observe a redistribution of wage income from the young to the old.

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File URL: http://www.uni-marburg.de/fb02/makro/forschung/magkspapers/21-2009_Michaelis.pdf
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File Function: First version, 2009
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung) in its series MAGKS Papers on Economics with number 200921.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision:
Publication status: Forthcoming in
Handle: RePEc:mar:magkse:200921

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Related research
Keywords: workforce ageing; unemployment; wage bargaining;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor
J5 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Vegard Skirbekk, 2004. "Age and Individual Productivity: A Literature Survey," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 1(1), pages 133-153. [Downloadable!]
  2. Layard, Richard & Nickell, Stephen, 1990. "Is Unemployment Lower if Unions Bargain over Employment?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 105(3), pages 773-87, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. David G. Blanchflower, 2007. "International Patterns of Union Membership," British Journal of Industrial Relations, Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics, vol. 45(1), pages 1-28, 03. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Pissarides, Christopher A., 1989. "Unemployment consequences of an aging population: An application of insider-outsider theory," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(2-3), pages 355-366, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Jochen Michaelis & Michael Pflüger, 2000. "The impact of tax reforms on unemployment in a SMOPEC," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 72(2), pages 175-201, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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