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Mitigating Hypothetical Bias in Value of Time Studies: Lab-Experiment Results

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Author Info
Hultkrantz, Lars () (Department of Business, Economics, Statistics and Informatics)
Shengcong, Xue (Department of Business, Economics, Statistics and Informatics)
Abstract

We present results from a series of willingness to-accept value-of-time choice experiments with students in Sweden and China, using both real and hypothetical purchases of the students´ time. Our results confirm negative hypothetical bias in stated choice elicitation of value-of-time. However, we find no evidence of hypothetical bias in a choice experiment where respondents to hypothetical or real offers have equal reference points (i.e., for purchase of their time “here and now”). Moreover, at least in the Chinese sample, we find that ex-post mitigation of negative hypothetical bias by certainty calibration, through recoding of uncertain “yes” responses into “no”, overshoots, while calibration by restricting estimations to confident “yes” and “no” responses possibly performs better.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Örebro University, Swedish Business School in its series Working Papers with number 2009:14.

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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: 16 Oct 2009
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Handle: RePEc:hhs:oruesi:2009_014

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Related research
Keywords: Stated choice; Certainty calibration; Preference certainty;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-17.


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