Local Economies and General Elections: The Influence of Municipal and Regional Economic Conditions on Voting in Sweden 1985–2002
AbstractThis paper presents a detailed analysis of voters’ responses to municipality and regional-level unemployment and economic growth, using panel data on 284 municipalities and 9 regions, covering Swedish general elections from 1982 to 2002. The preferred specification suggests that a reduction in regional unemployment by one percentage point is associated with an increase in the support for the national government by about 1.7 percentage points. The effect of growth, at the regional level, is substantial in size, but statistically insignificant. At the municipality level, unemployment has a smaller effect than at the regional level and growth has no effect on government support.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Research Institute of Industrial Economics in its series Working Paper Series with number 821.
Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: 05 Jan 2010
Date of revision:
Publication status: Forthcoming in European Journal of Political Economy.
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Elections; Voting; Local Economic Conditions;
Other versions of this item:
- Elinder, Mikael, 2010. "Local economies and general elections: The influence of municipal and regional economic conditions on voting in Sweden 1985-2002," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 279-292, June.
- H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
- R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
- R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
- R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2010-04-17 (All new papers)
- NEP-CDM-2010-04-17 (Collective Decision-Making)
- NEP-GEO-2010-04-17 (Economic Geography)
- NEP-POL-2010-04-17 (Positive Political Economics)
- NEP-URE-2010-04-17 (Urban & Real Estate Economics)
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