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Le transport de marchandises et la croissance économique

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  • Julien Brunel

    ()
    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - CNRS : UMR5593 - Université Lumière - Lyon II - Ecole Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'Etat)

Abstract

Le lien entre la demande de transport et la croissance économique est aujourd'hui connue sous le concept de couplage. L'intensité du transport ou l'estimation d'élasticité de la demande de transport par rapport à la production économique sont généralement utilisées pour estimer cette relation. Dans ce papier, l'intensité de transport routier de marchandises est décomposée en quatre facteurs. Une estimation de ces quatre facteurs est ensuite proposée pour un panel de pays européen. Nous observons alors deux facteurs de couplage (l'augmentation de la part modale de la route et de la distance de transport) et deux facteurs de découplage (la baisse de la part de l'industrie dans l'économie et la baisse du poids moyen de la production industrielle).

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File URL: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/09/59/07/PDF/asrdlf_1.0.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00095907.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Publication status: Published - Presented, ASRDLF. Villes et territoires face aux défis de la mondialisation - XLIè colloque de l'ASRDLF, 5-7 sept. 2005, Dijon, 2005, France
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00095907

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Keywords: Demande de transport de marchandises ; croissance économique ; couplage;

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  1. Aschauer, David Alan, 1989. "Is public expenditure productive?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 177-200, March.
  2. Gene M. Grossman & Alan B. Krueger, 1994. "Economic Growth and the Environment," NBER Working Papers 4634, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Shafik, Nemat, 1994. "Economic Development and Environmental Quality: An Econometric Analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 46(0), pages 757-73, Supplemen.
  4. Kwon, Tae-Hyeong, 2005. "Decomposition of factors determining the trend of CO2 emissions from car travel in Great Britain (1970-2000)," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 261-275, April.
  5. Holtz-Eakin, Douglas & Selden, Thomas M., 1995. "Stoking the fires? CO2 emissions and economic growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 85-101, May.
  6. Kiang, Nancy & Schipper, Lee, 1996. "Energy trends in the Japanese transportation sector," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 21-35.
  7. Schafer, Andreas & Victor, David G., 2000. "The future mobility of the world population," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 171-205, April.
  8. Kulshreshtha, Mudit & Nag, Barnali & Kulshrestha, Mukul, 2001. "A multivariate cointegrating vector auto regressive model of freight transport demand: evidence from Indian railways," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 29-45, January.
  9. Schafer, Andreas, 2005. "Structural change in energy use," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 429-437, March.
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