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The Anatomy of Trade Deflection

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  • Veysel Avsar

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Florida International University)

Abstract

This study employs a rich four dimensional export data of Brazilian firms to empirically examine the effect of past exporting relationships of the firms, whose products are targeted by antidumping duties, on their export flows to alternative markets. We show that, on the intensive margin, firms increase their export volumes to different countries that they were already exporting the targeted product when they suffer an AD duty in a particular country. On the extensive margin, our findings suggest that firms¡¯ probability of exporting in an export market resulting from an AD duty in a different market increases only if they have already an established trading relationship either for the targeted or a different product. In addition to making sense of existing puzzles in trade deflection, this paper makes an important contribution by demonstrating how much the fixed costs of developing an export destination matter in terms of trade deflection.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Florida International University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 1004.

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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fiu:wpaper:1004

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Postal: Miami, FL 33199
Phone: (305) 348-2316
Fax: (305) 348-1524
Web page: http://casgroup.fiu.edu/Economics/
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Related research

Keywords: Antidumping; trade deflection; WTO; new exports; previous exporting status; intensive margin; extensive margin; firm-level export data; IV first difference estimation;

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References

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  9. Jozef Konings & Hylke Vandenbussche, 2009. "Antidumping Protection hurts Exporters:Firm-level evidence from France," LICOS Discussion Papers 24109, LICOS - Centre for Institutions and Economic Performance, KU Leuven.
  10. Kyle Bagwell & Robert W. Staiger, 2002. "Multilateral trade negotiations, bilateral opportunism and the rules of GATT/WTO," Discussion Papers 0102-37, Columbia University, Department of Economics.
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  12. Danielken Molina & Marc-Andreas Muendler, 2013. "Preparing to Export," NBER Working Papers 18962, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  14. René Belderbos, 1997. "Antidumping and tariff Jumping: Japanese firms’ DFI in the European union and the United States," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 133(3), pages 419-457, September.
  15. Bagwell, Kyle & Staiger, Robert W, 1997. "Multilateral Tariff Cooperation during the Formation of Free Trade Areas," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 38(2), pages 291-319, May.
  16. Justin R. Pierce, 2011. "Plant-level responses to antidumping duties: evidence from U.S. manufacturers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-40, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  17. Konings, Jozef & Vandenbussche, Hylke, 2008. "Heterogeneous responses of firms to trade protection," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 371-383, December.
  18. Robert M. Feinberg & Kara M. Reynolds, 2006. "The Spread of Antidumping Regimes and the Role of Retaliation in Filings," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 72(4), pages 877–890, April.
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  20. Roberto Álvarez & Hasan Faruq & Ricardo A. López, 2010. "Is Previous Exporting Experience Relevant for New Exports?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 599, Central Bank of Chile.
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