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Economic growth, liquidity, and bank runs

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Author Info
Huberto M. Ennis
Todd Keister

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Abstract

We construct an endogenous growth model in which bank runs occur with positive probability in equilibrium. In this setting, a bank run has a permanent effect on the levels of the capital stock and of output. In addition, the possibility of a run changes the portfolio choices of depositors and of banks, and thereby affects the long-run growth rate. These facts imply that both the occurrence of a run and the mere possibility of runs in a given period have a large impact on all future periods. A bank run in our model is triggered by sunspots, and we consider two different equilibrium selection rules. In the first, a run occurs with a fixed, exogenous probability, while in the second the probability of a run is influenced by banks' portfolio choices. We show that when the choices of an individual bank affect the probability of a run on that bank, the economy both grows faster and experiences fewer runs.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond in its series Working Paper with number 03-01.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedrwp:03-01

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Keywords: Banks and banking Equilibrium (Economics)

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Freeman, Scott, 1988. "Banking as the Provision of Liquidity," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 61(1), pages 45-64, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Huberto M. Ennis & Todd Keister, 2003. "Government Policy and the Probability of Coordination Failures," Working Papers 0301, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Bencivenga, Valerie R & Smith, Bruce D, 1991. "Financial Intermediation and Endogenous Growth," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(2), pages 195-209, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Douglas W. Diamond & Philip H. Dybvig, 2000. "Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Win, pages 14-23. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Antinolfi, Gaetano & Keister, Todd & Shell, Karl, 2001. "Growth Dynamics and Returns to Scale: Bifurcation Analysis," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 96(1-2), pages 70-96, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Huberto M. Ennis, 2003. "Economic fundamentals and bank runs," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Spr, pages 55-71. [Downloadable!]
  7. Cooper, Russell & Ross, Thomas W., 1998. "Bank runs: Liquidity costs and investment distortions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 27-38, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. James Peck & Karl Shell, 2003. "Equilibrium Bank Runs," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 111(1), pages 103-123, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Neil Wallace, 1996. "Narrow banking meets the Diamond-Dybvig model," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Win, pages 3-13. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. García-Fronti, Javier & Miller, Marcus & Zhang, Lei, 2006. "Supply Shocks and Currency Crises: The Policy Dilemma Reconsidered," CEPR Discussion Papers 5905, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Ioannis Lazopoulos, 2005. "Cycles And Banking Crisis," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 15, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  3. Huberto M. Ennis & Todd Keister, 2004. "Bank runs and investment decisions revisited," Working Paper 04-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Gaetano Antinolfi & Todd Keister, 2003. "Discount Window Policy, Banking Crises, and Indeterminacy of Equilibrium," Working Papers 0305, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Alejandro Gaytan & Romain Rancière, 2004. "Wealth, Financial Intermediation and Growth," Economics Working Papers 851, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2004. [Downloadable!]
  6. Proto, Eugenio, 2005. "Growth expectations and banking system fragility in developing economies," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2005, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
  7. Gianni De Nicoló & Dmitriy Rozhkov & Sami Geadah, 2003. "Financial Development in the CIS-7 Countries: Bridging the Great Divide," IMF Working Papers 03/205, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Mei Li, 2007. "Coordination Failure in Technological Progress, Economic Growth and Volatility," Working Papers 1147, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  9. Shirley HO, 2004. "Evolutionary Forces in a Banking System with Speculation and System Risk," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 692, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  10. Falko Fecht & Kevin Huang & Antoine Martin, 2004. "Financial intermediaries, markets, and growth," Research Working Paper RWP 04-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. James Peck & Karl Shell, 2003. "Bank Portfolio Restrictions and Equilibrium Bank Runs," Levine's Bibliography 666156000000000077, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  12. Guilherme Carmona, 2004. "On the Existence of Equilibrium Bank Runs in a Diamond-Dybvig Environment," Finance 0404009, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Huberto M. Ennis & Todd Keister, 2003. "Government Policy and the Probability of Coordination Failures," Working Papers 0301, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Carlos Gustavo Machicado, 2007. "Growth and Banking Structure in a Partially Dollarized Economy," Development Research Working Paper Series 02/2007, Institute for Advanced Development Studies. [Downloadable!]
  15. Marie Hoerova, 2007. "Run-prone banking and asset markets," Working Paper Series 845, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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