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Economic legacy effects of armed conflict: insights from the Civil War in Aceh, Indonesia

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  • Heger, Martin Philipp
  • Neumayer, Eric

Abstract

The province of Aceh in Indonesia provides a promising case for studying the economic legacy effects of conflict given subnational district-level data on violence and gross domestic product. We demonstrate specific negative economic legacy effects of armed conflict despite a general peace dividend: whilst all districts in Aceh grow faster after conflict ends in 2005 than during the conflict, the districts that suffered relatively more from violence during the war grow relatively more slowly during peacetime than districts that experienced relatively little violence. These negative legacy effects are relatively short-lived, however, and are no longer statistically significant from 2009 onwards.

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  • Heger, Martin Philipp & Neumayer, Eric, 2022. "Economic legacy effects of armed conflict: insights from the Civil War in Aceh, Indonesia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108236, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:108236
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Aceh; armed conflict; economic growth; Indonesia; natural disaster; peace divident; peace dividend; Sage deal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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