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Gas Storage Valuation Under Limited Market Liquidity: An Application In Germany

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Author Info

  • Bastian Felix

    ()
    (Chair for Management Sciences and Energy Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen)

  • Oliver Woll

    ()
    (Chair for Management Sciences and Energy Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen)

  • Christoph Weber

    ()
    (Chair for Management Sciences and Energy Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen)

Abstract

Natural gas storages may be valuated by applying real options theory. However it is crucial, not to ignore that most evolving gas spot markets, like the German spot market, lack of liquidity. In this context, considering storage operators as price takers does not account for interdependencies of storage operations and market prices. This paper offers a novel approach to storage valuation taking into account the effect of management decisions on market prices. The within this paper proposed methodology determines the optimal production schedule and value by determining the stochastic differential equation describing the storage value and then applying a finite difference scheme. We find that limited liquidity lowers the storage value and reduces withdrawal and injection amounts. Further, we observe decreasing reservation prices for injection and withdrawing for growing illiquidity resulting in a left shift of injection and withdrawing threshold prices.

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File URL: http://www.wiwi.uni-due.de/fileadmin/fileupload/BWL-ENERGIE/Arbeitspapiere/RePEc/pdf/wp0903_2_GasStorageValuationUnderLimitedMarketLiquidity.pdf
File Function: First version, 2009
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics in its series EWL Working Papers with number 0903.

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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2009
Date of revision: Oct 2009
Handle: RePEc:dui:wpaper:0903

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Keywords: natural gas valuation; limited liquidity;

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