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Measuring the Impact of Global Warming in Agriculture

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Author Info
Robert Mendelsohn (School of Forestry, Yale University)
William D. Nordhaus () (Cowles Foundation, Yale University)
Daigee Shaw (Int. of Economics, Academia Sinca)

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Abstract

This paper develops a "Ricardian" approach for measuring the economic impact of environmental factors such as climate by examining the direct impact of the environmental factor on land prices. Estimating the model using cross-sectional data on climate, farm-land prices, and other economic and geophysical data for almost 3,000 countries in the United States, we find that higher temperatures in all seasons except autumn reduce average farm values in the United States and more precipitation in all seasons except autumn increases farm values. Applying the model to a global-warming scenario finds a range of impacts depending upon whether the model emphasize the grains through crop-land weights or a broader set of crops through crop-revenue weights. The results of the Ricardian approach show a significantly lower estimated impact of global warming than the traditional production-function approach.

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File URL: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d10a/d1045.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Cowles Foundation, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number 1045.

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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: Apr 1993
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Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1045

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Postal: Cowles Foundation, Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA

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  1. Adams, R.M. & McCarl, B.A. & Dudek, D.J. & Glyer, J.D., 1988. "Implications Of Global Climate Change For Western Agriculture," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(02), December. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Wang, Jinxia & Mendelsohn, Robert & Dinar, Ariel & Huang, Jikun, 2008. "How China's farmers adapt to climate change," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4758, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Don Fullerton, 2008. "Distributional Effects of Environmental and Energy Policy: An Introduction," NBER Working Papers 14241, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Robert Mendelsohn & Larry Williams, 2004. "Comparing Forecasts of the Global Impacts of Climate Change," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 315-333, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Wang, Jinxia & Mendelsohn, Robert & Dinar, Ariel & Huang, Jikun & Rozelle, Scott & Zhang, Lijuan, 2008. "Can China continue feeding itself ? the impact of climate change on agriculture," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4470, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-1.


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