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The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture

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Author Info

  • Francesco Bosello
  • Jian Zhang

Abstract

The economy implications that climate change holds for agricultural sectors in 2050 are estimated using a static computable general equilibrium model. A peculiar feature of this exercise is the interfacing of the economic model with a climate model forecasting temperature increase in the relevant year and a crop-growth model estimating climate change impact on cereal productivity. The main results of the study show, on one hand, the limited influence of climate change on world food supply and welfare, but, on the other hand, its important distributional consequences, the negative effects being concentrated mainly on the developing countries. The simulation exercise is introduced by a broad overview of the relevant literature.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Associazione Rossi Doria in its journal QA.

Volume (Year): (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:rar:journl:0032

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Related research

Keywords: Climate Change; Computable General Equilibrium Models; Agriculture;

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References

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  1. Burniaux, Jean-Marc & Truong Truong, 2002. "GTAP-E: An Energy-Environmental Version of the GTAP Model," GTAP Technical Papers 923, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
  2. Beach, Robert H. & Thomson, Allison M. & McCarl, Bruce A., 2010. "Climate Change Impacts On Us Agriculture," Proceedings Issues, 2010: Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security, June 2010, Stuttgart- Hohenheim, Germany 91393, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
  3. Oliver Deke & Kurt Georg Hooss & Christiane Kasten & Gernot Klepper & Katrin Springer, 2001. "Economic Impact of Climate Change: Simulations with a Regionalized Climate-Economy Model," Kiel Working Papers 1065, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  4. Roy Darwin & Richard Tol, 2001. "Estimates of the Economic Effects of Sea Level Rise," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 19(2), pages 113-129, June.
  5. Adams, Richard M. & McCarl, Bruce A. & Dudek, Daniel J. & Glyer, J. David, 1988. "Implications Of Global Climate Change For Western Agriculture," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(02), December.
  6. Mendelsohn, Robert & Nordhaus, William D & Shaw, Daigee, 1994. "The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 753-71, September.
  7. Richard M. Adams & Kelly J. Bryant & Bruce A. Mccarl & David M. Legler & James O'Brien & Andrew Solow & Rodney Weiher, 1995. "Value Of Improved Long-Range Weather Information," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 13(3), pages 10-19, 07.
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