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The Importance of Reallocations in Cyclical Productivity and Returns to Scale: Evidence from Plant-Level Data Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Yoonsoo Lee
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This paper provides new evidence that estimates based on aggregate data will understate the true procyclicality of total factor productivity. I examine plant-level data and show that some industries experience countercyclical reallocations of output shares among firms at different points in the business cycle, so that during recessions, less productive firms produce less of the total output, but during expansions they produce more. These reallocations cause overall productivity to rise during recessions, and do not reflect the actual path of productivity of a representative firm over the course of the business cycle. Such an effect (sometimes called the cleansing effect of recessions) may also bias aggregate estimates of returns to scale and help explain why decreasing returns to scale are found at the industry-level data.
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Paper provided by Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau in its series Working Papers with number
07-05.
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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2007Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cen:wpaper:07-05Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.ces.census.gov
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Sang V. Nguyen).
Keywords: Entry Exit Productivity Returns to Scale Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Capital and Total Factor Productivity; Capacity E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles O47 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
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