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The interaction between house prices and loans for house purchase. The Spanish case

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Author Info
Ricardo Gimeno () (Banco de España)
Carmen Martínez-Carrascal () (Banco de España)

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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyse, using a vector error-correction model (VECM), the dynamic interaction between house prices and loans for house purchase in Spain. The results show that both variables are interdependent in the long run: loans for house purchase depend positively on house prices, while house prices adjust when this credit aggregate departs from the level implied by its long-run determinants. In contrast, disequilibria in house prices are corrected only through changes in this variable. As for short-run dynamics, the results show that the two variables have a positive contemporaneous impact on each other, indicating the existence of mutally reinforcing cycles in both variables.

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File URL: http://www.bde.es/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosTrabajo/06/Fic/dt0605e.pdf
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File Function: First version, February 2006
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banco de España in its series Banco de España Working Papers with number 0605.

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Length: 51 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2006
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Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:0605

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Related research
Keywords: mortgage debt; housing prices; error correction;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Mortgages
R21 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Thomas Vlassopoulos, 2007. "The Interaction between Mortgage Financing and Housing Prices in Greece," Working Papers 58, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Juan Ayuso & Roberto Blanco & Fernando Restoy, 2006. "House prices and real interest rates in Spain," Banco de España Occasional Papers 0608, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
  3. Fernando Nieto, 2007. "The determinants of household credit in Spain," Banco de España Working Papers 0716, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
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