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Examining The Crb Index As An Indicator For U.S. Inflation

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  • Acharya, Ram N.
  • Gentle, Paul F.
  • Mishra, Ashok K.
  • Paudel, Krishna P.

Abstract

This paper analyzes historical movements in the commodity futures market and the relationship to inflation. Specifically, the relationship between the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) Index and United States inflation is investigated. It is said that the relationship between the CRB index and the U.S. inflation rate was greater in the some periods than in another period. Then in recent times the CRB Index has proven to be a reliable early indicator of inflation. As the composition of the United States economy changes, the Commodity Research Bureau must make adjustments in order to provide a viable service.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Southern Agricultural Economics Association in its series 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas with number 6760.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:ags:saeaed:6760

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Keywords: CRB index; Commodities Research Bureau; inflation; Vector Autoregression; Marketing; Public Economics; E00; E30;

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