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How does Tariff-rate quota modelling affect CGE results?: an application for MIRAGE

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  • Decreux, Yvan
  • Ramos, Maria Priscila

Abstract

Since the Uruguay Round Agricultural Agreement (URAA), tariff-rate quotas (TRQs) have become the most useful trade policy instrument to improve agricultural market access by controlling at the same time import volumes. This is the case of many agricultural markets where the level of protection is very high, such as for beef or sugar in the European Union or in the United States. Until now, MIRAGE CGE model only take into account the exogenous quota rents calculated at HS6 level using MAcMap database. The detailed information about TRQ's rents is then aggregated to the chosen level of GTAP data aggregation. Moreover, the model assumes that the quota rents are allocated entirely to exporters, this is a strong hypotheses because the quota rent allocation changes, not only from a country to another, but also between products for the same importer country according the TRQ administration methods. Unfortunately this methodology does not lead to model regime shifting as a consequence of changes in the trade policy, such as the increase of the quota volume for very sensitive agricultural products or tariffs reduction. In order to improve the TRQ treatment in MIRAGE we model them at a detailed level (bilateral TRQ at HS6 level using MAcMapHS6-v2 database). Assuming a simple scenario of bilateral trade agreement between the European Union and Mercosur, we test the previous TRQ modeling and we compare its results with the present versions of MIRAGE. The welfare and trade results will give us an idea of the biases introduced by the negligence of TRQ modelling.

Suggested Citation

  • Decreux, Yvan & Ramos, Maria Priscila, 2007. "How does Tariff-rate quota modelling affect CGE results?: an application for MIRAGE," Conference papers 331613, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:331613
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    3. Yvan Decreux & Lionel Fontagné, 2013. "What Did Happen in the DDA? Quantifying the Role of Negotiation Modalities," Working Papers 2013-38, CEPII research center.
    4. Bchir, Mohamed Hedi & Chemingui, Mohamed Abdelbasset & Karingi, Stephen, 2008. "The Impact of Multilateral Trade Liberalization on Poverty in Kenya: A Multiple Linked Top-Down Approach," Conference papers 331784, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Himics, Mihaly & Listorti, Giulia & Tonini, Axel, 2020. "Simulated economic impacts in applied trade modelling: A comparison of tariff aggregation approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 344-357.
    6. Decreux, Yvan & Fontagnã‰, Lionel, 2015. "What Next for Multilateral Trade Talks? Quantifying the Role of Negotiation Modalities," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 29-43, January.
    7. Ngavozafy, Antonia & Latorre, María C., 2021. "New EU-MERCOSUR Association Agreement: Quantitative Assessment of its Impacts on Global Trade in Agricultural Commodities," Conference papers 333294, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    8. Ngavozafy, Antonia & Suarez-Cuesta, David & Latorre, María C., 2022. "New EU-MERCOSUR Association Agreement: Quantitative Impact Assessment of the Liberalization through Tariff Rate Quotas," Conference papers 333466, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Jafari, Yaghoob & Britz, Wolfgang & Guimbard, Houssein & Beckman, Jayson, 2021. "Properly capturing tariff rate quotas for trade policy analysis in computable general equilibrium models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    10. Chiedza L. Muchopa, 2021. "Economic Impact of Tariff Rate Quotas and Underfilling: The Case of Canned Fruit Exports from South Africa to the EU," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-17, October.

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