Climate Change, Weather Shocks and Violent Conflict: A Critical Look at the Evidence
AbstractWe use cross-country data to explore whether temperature and rainfall shocks trigger violent conflict, or not. We include a wide range of country and time samples, and explore whether the impact of weather shocks is conditional on income or political regimes. Our overall conclusion is sobering. Notwithstanding the attention this topic has attracted from the media and policy makers, we find little robust evidence linking weather shocks to the onset of conflict.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by International Association of Agricultural Economists in its series 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil with number 125861.
Date of creation: 2012
Date of revision:
climate change; temperature; rainfall; violence; Africa; resource scarcity.; Environmental Economics and Policy; Food Security and Poverty; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy;
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-AFR-2012-07-08 (Africa)
- NEP-ALL-2012-07-08 (All new papers)
- NEP-ENV-2012-07-08 (Environmental Economics)
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