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Eine empirische Untersuchung zum Wachstum von Milchviehbetrieben mittels der Ereignisanalyse

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  • Francksen, Tammo
  • Hagemann, Martin
  • Latacz-Lohmann, Uwe
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    Abstract

    This paper investigates determinants of growth of milk production in German dairy farms. Event history analysis is applied to estimate the likelihood of a farm’s moving from a nongrowing episode into a growing episode and to assess the impact of various covariates on that likelihood. The analysis is based upon a balanced panel of annual farm accounts from 616 specialised dairy farms from Germany, covering the financial years 1995/96 to 2008/09. Im vorliegenden Beitrag wird innerbetriebliches Wachstums von deutschen Milchviehbetrieben mittels der Ereignisanalyse untersucht. Dabei wird die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Austritts aus einer Nicht-Wachstumsepisode bzw. des Eintritts in eine Wachstumsepisode eines Bebetriebes geschätzt. Darüber hinaus werden Einflussfaktoren auf die ermittelte Übergangswahrscheinlichkeit identifiziert. Die Datengrundlage bildet ein balanciertes Panel mit 616 spezialisierten Milchviehbetrieben, von denen die betriebswirtschaftlichen Jahresabschlüsse (von 1995/96 bis 2008/09) und weitere Informationen über die Produktionstechnik sowie den Betriebsleiter vorliegen.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA) in its series 51st Annual Conference, Halle, Germany, September 28-30, 2011 with number 114494.

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    Date of creation: 2011
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:gewi11:114494

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    Related research

    Keywords: Event history analysis; dairy farms; internal growth; determinants of growth; Ereignisanalyse; Milchviehbetriebe; innerbetriebliches Wachstum; Einflussfaktoren auf Wachstum; Agribusiness;

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    1. Jeremy D. Foltz, 2004. "Entry, Exit, and Farm Size: Assessing an Experiment in Dairy Price Policy," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 86(3), pages 594-604.
    2. Doris Läpple, 2010. "Adoption and Abandonment of Organic Farming: An Empirical Investigation of the Irish Drystock Sector," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(3), pages 697-714.
    3. Weiss, Christoph R. & Briglauer, Wolfgang, 2000. "Determinants and Dynamics of Farm Diversification," FE Working Papers 0002, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Food Economics and Consumption Studies.
    4. Michael Burton & Dan Rigby & Trevor Young, 2003. "Modelling the adoption of organic horticultural technology in the UK using Duration Analysis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 47(1), pages 29-54, 03.
    5. Glauben, Thomas & Tietje, Hendrik & Weiss, Christoph R., 2003. "Agriculture on the Move: Exploring Regional Differences in Farm Exit Rates," FE Working Papers 0308, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Food Economics and Consumption Studies.
    6. Leggesse Dadi & Michael Burton & Adam Ozanne, 2004. "Duration Analysis of Technological Adoption in Ethiopian Agriculture," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 613-631.
    7. Huettel, Silke & Jongeneel, Roelof A., 2008. "Structural Change in the Dairy Sectors of Germany and The Netherlands - A Markov Chain Analysis," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 43659, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
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