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Crop Choice and Rotational Effects: A Dynamic Model of Land Use in Iowa in Recent Years

Author

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  • Ji, Yongjie
  • Rabotyagov, Sergey
  • Kling, Catherine L.

Abstract

A dynamic land use model, more specifically a dynamic discrete choice model, is developed in this paper to model Iowa farmers' crop choice decisions in recent years based on the newly released field-scale cropland data layers by National Agricultural Statistics Service. We explicitly consider the dynamic effects naturally arising in the corn/soybean crop system and estimate the model using the conditional choice probability method. Compared to static models, dynamic land use models perform relatively better. The dynamic models produce significantly different arc elasticity than the static model in a policy scenario when the corn price increases by 10 percent.

Suggested Citation

  • Ji, Yongjie & Rabotyagov, Sergey & Kling, Catherine L., 2014. "Crop Choice and Rotational Effects: A Dynamic Model of Land Use in Iowa in Recent Years," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170366, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea14:170366
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.170366
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    Cited by:

    1. Ji, Yongjie & Rabotyagov, sergey & Valcu-Lisman, Adriana, 2015. "Estimating Adoption of Cover Crops Using Preferences Revealed by a Dynamic Crop Choice Model," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205799, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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    Keywords

    Land Economics/Use; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods;

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