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Agricultural Productivity and Anticipated Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Spatial Sample Selection Model

Author

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  • Ward, Patrick S.
  • Florax, Raymond J.G.M.
  • Flores-Lagunes, Alfonso

Abstract

A cereal yield response function is estimated conditional upon environmental and topographical features to detect the effects of spatial heterogeneity and spatial dependence in explaining agricultural productivity across Sub-Saharan Africa. Controlling for direct and localized spillover effects, we then estimate the effect that projected changes in temperature and precipitation as a result of global climate change will have on agricultural production. We find that the estimated declines found in the climatological literature may overestimate actual declines, and factors such as spatial heterogeneity (i.e., country fixed effects) are profoundly more important to agricultural production.

Suggested Citation

  • Ward, Patrick S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M. & Flores-Lagunes, Alfonso, 2010. "Agricultural Productivity and Anticipated Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Spatial Sample Selection Model," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 61635, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea10:61635
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.61635
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alfonso Flores‐Lagunes & Kurt Erik Schnier, 2012. "Estimation of sample selection models with spatial dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 173-204, March.
    2. World Bank, 2006. "World Development Indicators 2006," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 8151, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aboua, Christian, 2013. "Climate, International Trade and Crop Biodiversity in West Africa Countries," 2013 Fourth International Conference, September 22-25, 2013, Hammamet, Tunisia 160524, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    2. Julius Kotir, 2011. "Climate change and variability in Sub-Saharan Africa: a review of current and future trends and impacts on agriculture and food security," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 587-605, June.

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