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The Determinants of Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Market Economies

In: Proceedings of the Conference on Emerging Economic Issues in a Globalizing World

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Author Info
Mehmet Güçlü (Ege University)
Abstract

The choice of exchange rate regime has become one of the most important issues one more time in many economies after the financial crises in recent years. In the wake of the financial crises, many countries, especially emerging market economies, opted for floating exchange rate regimes by forsaking the pegged regimes. Consequently, an old debate on the choice and determinants of exchange rate regimes has been triggered. Economists have started to debate what appropriate exchange rate regime for an economy is. When the tendency in recent years is taken into consideration, the choice of exchange rate regime of countries, especially emerging economies, needs to be analyzed. To do this, in this paper, we attempt to uncover how emerging market economies choose their exchange rate regimes. In other words, we try to find the economic and political factors underlying the choice of exchange rate regimes. The study includes 25 emerging market economies over the period 1970-2006. We use random effect ordered probit model in order to find the long run economic and political determinants of exchange rate regimes for emerging economies. The determinants of both the de jure and de facto exchange regimes are empirically analyzed in the paper.

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This chapter was published in: Mehmet Güçlü Proceedings of the Conference on Emerging Economic Issues in a Globalizing World, , pages 177-191, 2008.

This item is provided by Izmir University of Economics in its series Papers of the Annual IUE-SUNY Cortland Conference in Economics with number 200811.

Handle: RePEc:izm:prcdng:200811

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This chapter was published in the following book, which is listed on IDEAS:
Oguz Esen & Ayla Ogus (ed.), 2008. "Proceedings of the International Conference on Emerging Economic Issues in a Globalizing World," Proceedings of the IUE-SUNY Cortland Conference in Economics, Izmir University of Economics, number 2008, November. [Downloadable!]
Keywords: exchange rate regimes; emerging markets; probit;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. von Hagen, Jurgen & Zhou, Jizhong, 2007. "The choice of exchange rate regimes in developing countries: A multinomial panel analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1071-1094, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Pierre-Guillaume Méon & Jean-Marc Rizzo, 2002. "The Viability of Fixed Exchange Rate Commitments: Does Politics Matter? A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 111-132, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Berger, Helge & Sturm, Jan-Egbert & Haan, Jakob de, 2000. "An Empirical Investigation into Exchange Rate Regime Choice and Exchange Rate Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  4. Kenneth Rogoff & M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Shang-Jin Wei, 2004. "Effects on Financial Globalization on Developing Countries: Some Empirical Evidence," IMF Occasional Papers 220, International Monetary Fund.
  5. Bernhard, William & Leblang, David, 1999. "Democratic Institutions and Exchange-rate Commitments," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(01), pages 71-97, January. [Downloadable!]
  6. Bernhard, William & Leblang, David, 1999. "Democratic Institutions and Exchange-Rate Commitments," International Organization, MIT Press, vol. 53(1), pages 71-97, Winter.
  7. Savvides, Andreas, 1990. "Real exchange rate variability and the choice of exchange rate regime by developing countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 440-454, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Melvin, Michael, 1985. "The Choice of an Exchange Rate System and Macroeconomic Stability," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(4), pages 467-78, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Hélène Poirson, . "How Do Countries Choose Their Exchange Rate Regime?," IMF Working Papers 01/46, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  10. Holden, Paul & Holden, Merle & Suss, Esther C, 1979. "The Determinants of Exchange Rate Flexibility: An Empirical Investigation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 61(3), pages 327-33, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Collins, Susan M., 1996. "On becoming more flexible: Exchange rate regimes in Latin America and the Caribbean," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 117-138, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Heller, H Robert, 1978. "Determinants of Exchange Rate Practices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(3), pages 308-21, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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