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A quantitative analysis of trade policy responses to higher world agricultural commodity prices:

In: Agriculture, development, and the global trading system: 2000– 2015

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  • Yu, T. Edward
  • Tokgoz, Simla
  • Wailes, Eric
  • Chavez, Eddie C.

Abstract

From 2007 through mid-2008, world prices of major agricultural commodities, such as cereals, oilseeds, and their by-products, experienced unprecedented surges since World War II (Baffes and Haniotis 2010).1 The world food price indexes produced by the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) of the United Nations increased by 56 percent between 2006 and 2008, while cereals and vegetable oils price indexes doubled during the same period (FAO 2010). Although price pressure for these commodities was temporarily relieved in late 2008 and 2009, the world price indexes for food, grains, and vegetable oils have rebounded in 2011 to their former high levels again (Figure 11.1). The sudden price spikes of agricultural and food commodities in 2007– 2008 quickly caught worldwide attention because cereal grains such as rice and wheat are staples in many developing economies, while corn is an important feedstock for the growing livestock sector in both developed and developing countries. For some food-deficit developing economies that rely heavily on imports for food consumption, drastic increases in the prices of these crops threatened the nutritional needs and social stability of these economies. Moreover, in major Asian rice-producing and rice-consuming countries, rice availability and affordability is a focus of national food security and policies (Wailes 2005).

Suggested Citation

  • Yu, T. Edward & Tokgoz, Simla & Wailes, Eric & Chavez, Eddie C., 2017. "A quantitative analysis of trade policy responses to higher world agricultural commodity prices:," IFPRI book chapters, in: Bouët, Antoine & Laborde Debucquet, David (ed.), Agriculture, development, and the global trading system: 2000– 2015, chapter 11, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  • Handle: RePEc:fpr:ifpric:9780896292499-11
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    1. Liefert, William M. & Westcott, Paul C. & Wainio, John, 2013. "Modifying Export Taxes and Quotas To Make Them Less Market-Distorting," Working Papers 155284, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    2. Rude, James & An, Henry, 2015. "Explaining grain and oilseed price volatility: The role of export restrictions," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 83-92.
    3. David Laborde & Simla Tokgoz & Maximo Torero, 2013. "Long-Term Drivers of Food and Nutrition Security," FOODSECURE Working papers 6, LEI Wageningen UR.
    4. Christian Elleby, 2014. "Poverty and Price Transmission," IFRO Working Paper 2015/01, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
    5. Thompson, Wyatt & Dewbre, Joe & Pieralli, Simone & Schroeder, Kateryna & Pérez Domínguez, Ignacio & Westhoff, Patrick, 2019. "Long-term crop productivity response and its interaction with cereal markets and energy prices," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1-9.
    6. Umar Muhammad Gummi & Yang Rong & Utiya Bello & Abdulhamid Sillah Umar & Asiya Mu'azu, 2021. "On the Analysis of Food and Oil Markets in Nigeria: What Prices Tell Us from Asymmetric and Partial Structural Change Modeling?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 52-64.
    7. Pio Baake & Steffen Huck, 2013. "Crop Failures and Export Tariffs," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1342, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    8. Jingyi Liu & Xiande Li & Junmao Sun, 2023. "China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-13, July.
    9. Yu, T. Edward & Tokgoz, Simla & Wailes, Eric & Chavez, Eddie C., 2017. "A quantitative analysis of trade policy responses to higher world agricultural commodity prices:," IFPRI book chapters, in: Bouët, Antoine & Laborde Debucquet, David (ed.), Agriculture, development, and the global trading system: 2000– 2015, chapter 11, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    10. Götz, Linde & Glauben, Thomas & Brümmer, Bernhard, 2013. "Wheat export restrictions and domestic market effects in Russia and Ukraine during the food crisis," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 214-226.
    11. Djuric, Ivan & Götz, Linde, 2016. "Export restrictions – Do consumers really benefit? The wheat-to-bread supply chain in Serbia," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 112-123.
    12. Lee, Youngjae & Kennedy, Lynn, 2016. "Analyzing Collective Trade Policy Actions in Response to Cyclical Risk in Agricultural Production: The Case of International Wheat," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235430, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Liefert, William M. & Westcott, Paul C., 2016. "Modifying agricultural export taxes to make them less market-distorting," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 65-77.
    14. Bairagi, Subir K. & Durand-Morat, Alvaro, 2021. "The Impacts of Droughts and Floods on the Global Rice Market," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 313859, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Estrades, Carmen, 2015. "The Role of Export Restrictions in Agriculture Trade," 2015: Trade and Societal Well-Being, December 13-15, 2015, Clearwater Beach, Florida 229229, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    16. Mittal, S & Hariharan, VK & Subash, SP, 2018. "Price volatility trends and price transmission for major staples in India," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 31(1).
    17. von Braun, Joachim & Tadesse, Getaw, 2012. "Global Food Price Volatility and Spikes: An Overview of Costs, Causes, and Solutions," Discussion Papers 120021, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    18. Wailes, Eric J. & Chavez, Eddie C., 2011. "World Rice Outlook International Rice Baseline Projections, 2011-2020," Staff Papers 112998, University of Arkansas, Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness.
    19. Brockhaus, Jan & Kalkuhl, Matthias & Kozicka, Marta, 2016. "What Drives India’s Rice Stocks? Empirical Evidence," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235659, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Liefert, William M. & Westcott, Paul C., 2015. "Alternative Policies to Agricultural Export Taxes That Are Less Market Distorting," Economic Research Report 262209, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    21. Abate, Gashaw T. & Badiane, Ousmane, 2018. "Determinants of African agricultural exports," IFPRI book chapters, in: Africa agriculture trade monitor 2018, chapter 5, pages 85-109, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

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