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Die Preistransmission entlang der Wertschöpfungskette in Österreich für ausgewählte Produktgruppen

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  • Josef Baumgartner

Abstract

Der Prozess der Transmission von Preisänderungen zwischen Februar 2000 bis Dezember 2006 von den Weltmarktpreisen über die österreichischen Erzeuger- und Großhandelspreise auf die inländischen Verbraucherpreise wurde mit univariaten ARIMA-X- und multivariaten vektorautoregressiven Zeitreihenmodellen untersucht, und zwar für die folgenden 12 ausgewählten Produktgruppen: Nahrungsmittel (verarbeitete Getreideprodukte, Brot und Gebäck, andere Getreideprodukte, Vollmilch, Milchprodukte, Käse, Butter, Eier) und Mineralölprodukte (Normalbenzin, Superbenzin, Dieseltreibstoff, Heizöl). Auf der Erzeugerebene zeigen die Berechnungen im Jahr 2007 eine überproportionale Verteuerung von Getreide in Österreich gegenüber der Entwicklung der Weltmarktpreise. Getreide und Dieselkraftstoff verteuerten sich auch auf Ebene der Großhandelspreise auffallend stark. In allen 12 Produktgruppen stiegen 2007 die Verbraucherpreise im Jahr 2007 stärker, als aufgrund der Weltmarktpreisentwicklung zu erwarten gewesen wäre. Die Ursachen dieser Abweichungen gegenüber der Vergangenheit wurden im Rahmen dieser Untersuchung nicht analysiert.

Suggested Citation

  • Josef Baumgartner, 2008. "Die Preistransmission entlang der Wertschöpfungskette in Österreich für ausgewählte Produktgruppen," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 33139, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:33139
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    References listed on IDEAS

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