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Assessing Forecast Performance in a Cointegrated System

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Author Info
Hoffman, Dennis L
Rasche, Robert H

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Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 11 (1996)
Issue (Month): 5 (Sept.-Oct.)
Pages: 495-517
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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:11:y:1996:i:5:p:495-517

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  1. George Athanasopoulos & Osmani T. de C. Guillén & João V. Issler & Farshid Vahid, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 2/09, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Athanasopoulos, George & Issler, João Victor & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 589, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Lance J. Bachmeier & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Predicting Inflation: Does The Quantity Theory Help?," Departmental Working Papers 200317, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Neri, Marcelo Cortes & Soares, Wagner Lopes, 2008. "Turismo sustentável e alivio a pobreza: avaliação de impacto," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 689, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  5. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997. "Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting," NBER Technical Working Papers 0217, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Kala Krishna & Ataman Ozyildirim & Norman R. Swanson, 1998. "Trade, Investment, and Growth: Nexus, Analysis, and Prognosis," NBER Working Papers 6861, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Wagatha, Matthias, 2007. "Integration, Kointegration und die Langzeitprognose von Kreditausfallzyklen
    [Integration, Cointegration and Long-Horizont Forecasting of Credit-Default-Cycles]
    ," MPRA Paper 8602, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  8. Richard G. Anderson & Dennis L. Hoffman & Robert H. Rasche, 2001. "A vector error correction forecasting model of the U.S. economy," Working Papers 1998-008, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Dennis L. Hoffman & Robert H. Rasche, 1997. "STLS/US-VECM6.1: a vector error-correction forecasting model of the U. S. economy," Working Papers 1997-008, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  10. Richard Harrison & George Kapetanios & Tony Yates, . "Forecasting with measurement errors in dynamic models," Bank of England working papers 237, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Judith A. Giles & Sadaf Mirza, 1999. "Some Pretesting Issues on Testing for Granger Noncausality," Econometrics Working Papers 9914, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
  12. Judith A. Clarke & Sadaf Mirza, 2003. "Some Finite Sample Results On Testing For Granger Noncausality," Econometrics Working Papers 0305, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
  13. Maghyereh, A., 2004. "Oil Price Shocks and Emerging Stock Markets: A Generalized VAR Approach," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 1(2), pages 27-40. [Downloadable!]
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