IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/ijtafx/v21y2018i06ns0219024918500371.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pricing Interest Rate Derivatives Under Monetary Changes

Author

Listed:
  • ALAN DE GENARO

    (Getulio Vargas Foundation — FGV/EAESP, Brazil)

  • MARCO AVELLANEDA

    (Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences — NYU, USA)

Abstract

The goal of this paper is to develop a reduced-form model for pricing derivatives on the overnight rate. The model incorporates jumps around central bank (CB) meetings. More specifically, rate changes are decomposed into fluctuations between CB meetings and deterministic timed jumps following CB meetings. This approach is useful for practitioners, since it allows the extraction of expectations regarding central bank decisions embedded in liquid instruments, as well as the use of these expectations for the pricing of less liquid derivatives, such as options, in a consistent manner. We discuss applications to 30-Day Fed funds options and IDI options traded in Brazil.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan De Genaro & Marco Avellaneda, 2018. "Pricing Interest Rate Derivatives Under Monetary Changes," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(06), pages 1-28, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijtafx:v:21:y:2018:i:06:n:s0219024918500371
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219024918500371
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0219024918500371
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S0219024918500371?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:dau:papers:123456789/13142 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Jamshidian, Farshid, 1989. " An Exact Bond Option Formula," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 44(1), pages 205-209, March.
    3. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Caio Almeida & Jos� Vicente, 2012. "Term structure movements implicit in Asian option prices," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 119-134, February.
    5. S. G. Kou & Hui Wang, 2004. "Option Pricing Under a Double Exponential Jump Diffusion Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1178-1192, September.
    6. Patell, James M. & Wolfson, Mark A., 1979. "Anticipated information releases reflected in call option prices," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 117-140, August.
    7. Beber, Alessandro & Brandt, Michael W., 2006. "The effect of macroeconomic news on beliefs and preferences: Evidence from the options market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(8), pages 1997-2039, November.
    8. Patell, Jm & Wolfson, Ma, 1981. "The Ex Ante And Ex Post Price Effects Of Quarterly Earnings Announcements Reflected In Option And Stock-Prices," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 434-458.
    9. Monika Piazzesi, 2005. "Bond Yields and the Federal Reserve," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(2), pages 311-344, April.
    10. Michael Curran, 1994. "Valuing Asian and Portfolio Options by Conditioning on the Geometric Mean Price," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 40(12), pages 1705-1711, December.
    11. Vasicek, Oldrich, 1977. "An equilibrium characterization of the term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 177-188, November.
    12. Hélyette Geman & Marc Yor, 1993. "Bessel Processes, Asian Options, And Perpetuities," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(4), pages 349-375, October.
    13. Vasicek, Oldrich Alfonso, 1977. "Abstract: An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 627-627, November.
    14. Fouquau, Julien & Spieser, Philippe K., 2015. "Statistical evidence about LIBOR manipulation: A “Sherlock Holmes” investigation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 632-643.
    15. Bjørn Eraker, 2004. "Do Stock Prices and Volatility Jump? Reconciling Evidence from Spot and Option Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 1367-1404, June.
    16. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    17. Marcos C. S. Carreira & Richard J. Brostowicz, 2016. "Brazilian Derivatives and Securities," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-137-47727-9.
    18. Gibson, Rajna & Lhabitant, Francois-Serge & Talay, Denis, 2010. "Modeling the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Review of the Literature," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 5(1–2), pages 1-156, December.
    19. Nkwoma, Inekwe John, 2017. "Futures-Based Measures Of Monetary Policy And Jump Risk," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 384-405, March.
    20. Black, Fischer, 1976. "The pricing of commodity contracts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 167-179.
    21. Ederington, Louis H. & Lee, Jae Ha, 1996. "The Creation and Resolution of Market Uncertainty: The Impact of Information Releases on Implied Volatility," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(4), pages 513-539, December.
    22. Taylor, John B., 1993. "Discretion versus policy rules in practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 195-214, December.
    23. George Chacko, 2002. "Pricing Interest Rate Derivatives: A General Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(1), pages 195-241, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Allan Jonathan da Silva & Jack Baczynski & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2020. "Efficient Solutions for Pricing and Hedging Interest Rate Asian Options," Working Papers Series 513, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Allan Jonathan da Silva & Jack Baczynski & Leonardo Fagundes de Mello, 2023. "Hedging Interest Rate Options with Reinforcement Learning: an investigation of a heavy-tailed distribution," Business and Management Studies, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(2), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Rama Cont, 2023. "In memoriam: Marco Avellaneda (1955–2022)," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(1), pages 3-15, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    2. Mark Broadie & Jerome B. Detemple, 2004. "ANNIVERSARY ARTICLE: Option Pricing: Valuation Models and Applications," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1145-1177, September.
    3. Beliaeva, Natalia & Nawalkha, Sanjay, 2012. "Pricing American interest rate options under the jump-extended constant-elasticity-of-variance short rate models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 151-163.
    4. Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios, 2005. "A Class of Markovian Models for the Term Structure of Interest Rates Under Jump-Diffusions," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2005.
    5. Bjork, Tomas, 2009. "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199574742.
    6. Geman, Hélyette, 2005. "From measure changes to time changes in asset pricing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 2701-2722, November.
    7. Mondher Bellalah, 2009. "Derivatives, Risk Management & Value," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 7175, January.
    8. Munk, Claus, 2015. "Financial Asset Pricing Theory," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198716457.
    9. Sanjay K. Nawalkha & Xiaoyang Zhuo, 2022. "A Theory of Equivalent Expectation Measures for Contingent Claim Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(5), pages 2853-2906, October.
    10. Allan Jonathan da Silva & Jack Baczynskiy & José Valentim M. Vicente, 2015. "A Discrete Monitoring Method for Pricing Asian Interest Rate Options," Working Papers Series 409, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    11. Huse, Cristian, 2011. "Term structure modelling with observable state variables," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 3240-3252.
    12. Chen, Bin & Song, Zhaogang, 2013. "Testing whether the underlying continuous-time process follows a diffusion: An infinitesimal operator-based approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(1), pages 83-107.
    13. Das, Sanjiv Ranjan, 1998. "A direct discrete-time approach to Poisson-Gaussian bond option pricing in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 333-369, November.
    14. Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios, 2005. "A Class of Markovian Models for the Term Structure of Interest Rates Under Jump-Diffusions," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 6, July-Dece.
    15. Suresh M. Sundaresan, 2000. "Continuous‐Time Methods in Finance: A Review and an Assessment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1569-1622, August.
    16. Lin, Shih-Kuei & Wang, Shin-Yun & Chen, Carl R. & Xu, Lian-Wen, 2017. "Pricing Range Accrual Interest Rate Swap employing LIBOR market models with jump risks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 359-373.
    17. Duffie, Darrell, 2003. "Intertemporal asset pricing theory," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 639-742, Elsevier.
    18. Cai, Lili & Swanson, Norman R., 2011. "In- and out-of-sample specification analysis of spot rate models: Further evidence for the period 1982-2008," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 743-764, September.
    19. Kent Wang & Yuqiang Guo, 2014. "Predictability of time-varying jump premiums: Evidence based on calibration," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 39(3), pages 369-394, August.
    20. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5374 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. repec:wyi:journl:002192 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Arismendi-Zambrano, Juan & Belitsky, Vladimir & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim & Kimura, Herbert, 2022. "The implications of dependence, tail dependence, and bounds’ measures for counterparty credit risk pricing," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:ijtafx:v:21:y:2018:i:06:n:s0219024918500371. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/ijtaf/ijtaf.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.