IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jfutmk/v42y2022i1p61-76.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sentiment‐dependent impact of funding liquidity shocks on futures market liquidity

Author

Listed:
  • Doojin Ryu
  • Jinyoung Yu

Abstract

We examine the effect of funding liquidity changes on futures market liquidity, depending on economic sentiment. Futures market liquidity improves following negative funding liquidity shocks, and economic sentiment is an important determinant explaining this relationship. While individuals' trading is most significantly affected by sentiment, its response to funding liquidity shocks remains independent of sentiment effects. Domestic institutions' reactions depend on the sentiment regime; they trade futures contracts more actively as funding liquidity becomes more abundant (scarcer) when sentiment is more pessimistic (optimistic). Foreigners, following negative funding liquidity shocks, generally increase their futures trading, whereas their trading decreases under the extremely pessimistic sentiment. Domestic banks and pension funds provide liquidity to the futures market even when sentiment is pessimistic.

Suggested Citation

  • Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2022. "Sentiment‐dependent impact of funding liquidity shocks on futures market liquidity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 61-76, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:42:y:2022:i:1:p:61-76
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22274
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22274
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/fut.22274?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jieun Lee & Doojin Ryu, 2019. "The impacts of public news announcements on intraday implied volatility dynamics," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 656-685, June.
    2. Yang, Chunpeng & Gao, Bin, 2014. "The term structure of sentiment effect in stock index futures market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 171-182.
    3. Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2004. "Liquidity Black Holes," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-18.
    4. Jean-Sébastien Fontaine & René Garcia, 2012. "Bond Liquidity Premia," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 25(4), pages 1207-1254.
    5. Tarun Chordia & Richard Roll & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2001. "Market Liquidity and Trading Activity," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 501-530, April.
    6. Wang, Xinjie & Wu, Yangru & Yan, Hongjun & Zhong, Zhaodong (Ken), 2021. "Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from the CDS Big Bang," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(2), pages 545-560.
    7. Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2021. "Informed options trading around holidays," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 658-685, May.
    8. Doojin Ryu & Doowon Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2021. "The impact of net buying pressure on index options prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 27-45, January.
    9. Richard Roll & Eduardo Schwartz & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2007. "Liquidity and the Law of One Price: The Case of the Futures‐Cash Basis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(5), pages 2201-2234, October.
    10. Ji-Yeong Chung & Dong-Hyun Ahn & In-Seok Baek & Kyu Ho Kang, 2018. "An Empirical Investigation on Funding Liquidity and Market Liquidity," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 22(3), pages 1213-1247.
    11. Felipe Restrepo & Lina Cardona‐Sosa & Philip E. Strahan, 2019. "Funding Liquidity without Banks: Evidence from a Shock to the Cost of Very Short‐Term Debt," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(6), pages 2875-2914, December.
    12. Elizabeth R. Odders-White & Mark J. Ready, 2006. "Credit Ratings and Stock Liquidity," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(1), pages 119-157.
    13. Ryu, Doojin, 2016. "Considering all microstructure effects: The extension of a trade indicator model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 107-110.
    14. Fang, Vivian W. & Noe, Thomas H. & Tice, Sheri, 2009. "Stock market liquidity and firm value," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 150-169, October.
    15. Karam Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2021. "Does sentiment determine investor trading behaviour?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(10), pages 811-816, June.
    16. Lasse Heje Pedersen & Mark Mitchell & Todd Pulvino, 2007. "Slow Moving Capital," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(2), pages 215-220, May.
    17. Webb, Robert I. & Ryu, Doojin & Ryu, Doowon & Han, Joongho, 2016. "The price impact of futures trades and their intraday seasonality," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 80-98.
    18. Chiu, Junmao & Chung, Huimin & Ho, Keng-Yu & Wang, George H.K., 2012. "Funding liquidity and equity liquidity in the subprime crisis period: Evidence from the ETF market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 2660-2671.
    19. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2009. "Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(6), pages 2201-2238, June.
    20. Abudy, Menachem Meni, 2020. "Retail investors’ trading and stock market liquidity," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    21. Chunbo Liu & Cheng Zhang & Zhiping Zhou, 2018. "From funding liquidity to market liquidity: Evidence from the index options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(10), pages 1189-1205, October.
    22. Doojin Ryu & Hyeyoen Kim & Heejin Yang, 2017. "Investor sentiment, trading behavior and stock returns," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(12), pages 826-830, July.
    23. Easley, David & O'Hara, Maureen, 1987. "Price, trade size, and information in securities markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 69-90, September.
    24. Chordia, Tarun & Roll, Richard & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar, 2000. "Commonality in liquidity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 3-28, April.
    25. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Firm-specific investor sentiment and the stock market response to earnings news," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 221-240.
    26. Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & John Moore, 2019. "Liquidity, Business Cycles, and Monetary Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(6), pages 2926-2966.
    27. Boudt, Kris & Paulus, Ellen C.S. & Rosenthal, Dale W.R., 2017. "Funding liquidity, market liquidity and TED spread: A two-regime model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 143-158.
    28. Heejin Yang & Hyung‐Suk Choi & Doojin Ryu, 2017. "Option Market Characteristics and Price Monotonicity Violations," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 473-498, May.
    29. Deuskar, Prachi & Johnson, Timothy C., 2021. "Funding liquidity and market liquidity in government bonds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    30. Rösch, Christoph G. & Kaserer, Christoph, 2014. "Reprint of: Market liquidity in the financial crisis: The role of liquidity commonality and flight-to-quality," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 152-170.
    31. Doojin Ryu, 2011. "Intraday price formation and bid–ask spread components: A new approach using a cross‐market model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(12), pages 1142-1169, December.
    32. Doojin Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2020. "Noise traders, mispricing, and price adjustments in derivatives markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 480-499, April.
    33. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin & Yu, Jinyoung, 2021. "Do sentiment trades explain investor overconfidence around analyst recommendation revisions?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    34. John Hua Fan & Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Ana‐Maria Fuertes & Joëlle Miffre, 2020. "Speculative pressure," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 575-597, April.
    35. William J. Breen & Laurie Simon Hodrick & Robert A. Korajczyk, 2002. "Predicting Equity Liquidity," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(4), pages 470-483, April.
    36. Alexander Kurov, 2008. "Investor Sentiment, Trading Behavior and Informational Efficiency in Index Futures Markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 43(1), pages 107-127, February.
    37. Jaeram Lee & Doojin Ryu, 2016. "Asymmetric Mispricing and Regime-dependent Dynamics in Futures and Options Markets," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 47-65, March.
    38. Alex Frino & Vito Mollica & Zeyang Zhou, 2014. "Commonality in Liquidity Across International Borders: Evidence from Futures Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(8), pages 807-818, August.
    39. Ameet Kumar Banerjee & H. K. Pradhan & Trilochan Tripathy & A. Kanagaraj, 2020. "Macroeconomic news surprises, volume and volatility relationship in index futures market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 275-287, January.
    40. Tobias Adrian & Hyun Song Shin, 2009. "Money, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 600-605, May.
    41. Lee, Jaeram & Lee, Geul & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "The difference in the intraday return-volume relationships of spot and futures: A quantile regression approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 13, pages 1-38.
    42. Foucault, Thierry & Pagano, Marco & Roell, Ailsa, 2013. "Market Liquidity: Theory, Evidence, and Policy," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199936243, Decembrie.
    43. Petri Jylhä & Kalle Rinne & Matti Suominen, 2014. "Do Hedge Funds Supply or Demand Liquidity?," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(4), pages 1259-1298.
    44. Claudio Borio, 2000. "Market liquidity and stress: selected issues and policy implications," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, November.
    45. Doojin Ryu & Jangkoo Kang & Sangwon Suh, 2015. "Implied Pricing Kernels: An Alternative Approach for Option Valuation," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 127-147, February.
    46. Chen, Wei-Peng & Ling Lin, Shu & Lu, Jun & Wu, Chih-Chiang, 2018. "The impact of funding liquidity on market quality," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 153-166.
    47. Evan Gatev & Philip E. Strahan, 2006. "Banks' Advantage in Hedging Liquidity Risk: Theory and Evidence from the Commercial Paper Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(2), pages 867-892, April.
    48. Lee, Jaeram & Kang, Jangkoo & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Common deviation and regime-dependent dynamics in the index derivatives markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 1-22.
    49. Park, Seongkyu Gilbert & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Speed and trading behavior in an order-driven market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 145-164.
    50. Elder, John & Miao, Hong & Ramchander, Sanjay, 2012. "Impact of macroeconomic news on metal futures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 51-65.
    51. Brockman, Paul & Chung, Dennis Y. & Pérignon, Christophe, 2009. "Commonality in Liquidity: A Global Perspective," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(4), pages 851-882, August.
    52. Patty Duijm & Sophie Steins Bisschop, 2018. "Short-termism of long-term investors? The investment behaviour of Dutch insurance companies and pension funds," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(31), pages 3376-3387, July.
    53. Hee‐Joon Ahn & Jangkoo Kang & Doojin Ryu, 2008. "Informed trading in the index option market: The case of KOSPI 200 options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(12), pages 1118-1146, December.
    54. Hyun-Jung Ryoo & Graham Smith, 2004. "The impact of stock index futures on the Korean stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 243-251.
    55. Doojin Ryu, 2015. "The Information Content of Trades: An Analysis of KOSPI 200 Index Derivatives," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 201-221, March.
    56. Peter R. Locke & Asani Sarkar, 2001. "Liquidity supply and volatility: futures market evidence," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 1-17, January.
    57. Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2017. "Price disagreements and adjustments in index derivatives markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 104-106.
    58. Alex Frino & Vito Mollica & Robert I. Webb, 2014. "The Impact of Co‐Location of Securities Exchanges' and Traders' Computer Servers on Market Liquidity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(1), pages 20-33, January.
    59. Patty Duijm & Sophie Steins Bisschop, 2018. "Short-termism of long-term investors? The investment behaviour of Dutch insurance companies and pension funds," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(31), pages 3376-3387, July.
    60. Doojin Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2018. "The directional information content of options volumes," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1533-1548, December.
    61. Khan, Muhammad Saifuddin & Scheule, Harald & Wu, Eliza, 2017. "Funding liquidity and bank risk taking," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 203-216.
    62. Robin K. Chou & George H. K. Wang & Yun‐Yi Wang, 2015. "The Effects of Margin Changes on the Composition of Traders and Market Liquidity: Evidence from the Taiwan Futures Exchange," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(10), pages 894-915, October.
    63. Chung, Kee H. & Park, Seongkyu “Gilbert” & Ryu, Doojin, 2016. "Trade duration, informed trading, and option moneyness," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 395-411.
    64. Bessembinder, Hendrik & Seguin, Paul J, 1992. "Futures-Trading Activity and Stock Price Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(5), pages 2015-2034, December.
    65. Chan, Kalok, 1992. "A Further Analysis of the Lead-Lag Relationship between the Cash Market and Stock Index Futures Market," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 123-152.
    66. Ji-Yeong Chung & Dong-Hyun Ahn & In-Seok Baek & Kyu Ho Kang, 2018. "An Empirical Investigation on Funding Liquidity and Market Liquidity," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 22(3), pages 1249-1249.
    67. Stoll, Hans R. & Whaley, Robert E., 1990. "The Dynamics of Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(4), pages 441-468, December.
    68. Huseyin Gulen & Stewart Mayhew, 2000. "Stock index futures trading and volatility in international equity markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(7), pages 661-685, August.
    69. Easley, David, et al, 1996. "Liquidity, Information, and Infrequently Traded Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1405-1436, September.
    70. Doowon Ryu & Doojin Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2020. "Investor Sentiment, Market Competition, and Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Korean Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(8), pages 1804-1816, June.
    71. Coughenour, Jay F. & Saad, Mohsen M., 2004. "Common market makers and commonality in liquidity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 37-69, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xingguo Luo & Wenye Cai & Doojin Ryu, 2022. "Information contents of intraday SSE 50 ETF options trades," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 580-604, April.
    2. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Jinyoung Yu & Young‐Chul Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2024. "Left‐digit biases: Individual and institutional investors," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 518-532, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lee, Jaeram & Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2021. "Does vega-neutral options trading contain information?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 294-314.
    2. Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2021. "Informed options trading around holidays," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 658-685, May.
    3. Doojin Ryu & Doowon Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2021. "The impact of net buying pressure on index options prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 27-45, January.
    4. Lee, Jieun & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "How does FX liquidity affect the relationship between foreign ownership and stock liquidity?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 101-119.
    5. Xingguo Luo & Wenye Cai & Doojin Ryu, 2022. "Information contents of intraday SSE 50 ETF options trades," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 580-604, April.
    6. Doojin Ryu & Robert I. Webb & Jinyoung Yu, 2023. "Who pays the liquidity cost? Central bank announcements and adverse selection," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 904-924, July.
    7. Yang, Heejin & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Volatility information trading in the index options market: An intraday analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 412-426.
    8. Daehyeon PARK & Doojin RYU, 2021. "Forecasting Stock Market Dynamics using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-34, June.
    9. Jieun Lee & Doojin Ryu, 2019. "The impacts of public news announcements on intraday implied volatility dynamics," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 656-685, June.
    10. Joonhyuk Song & Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2023. "Changes in the options contract size and arbitrage opportunities," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 122-137, January.
    11. Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I. & Yu, Jinyoung, 2022. "Funding liquidity shocks and market liquidity providers," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    12. Doojin RYU & Hyein SHIM, 2017. "Intraday Dynamics of Asset Returns, Trading Activities, and Implied Volatilities: A Trivariate GARCH Framework," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 45-61, June.
    13. Doojin Ryu, 2017. "Comprehensive market microstructure model: considering the inventory holding costs," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 183-201, March.
    14. Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin & Yu, Jinyoung, 2022. "Insider trading and information asymmetry: Evidence from the Korea Exchange," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PA).
    15. Karam KIM & Doojin RYU, 2020. "Predictive ability of investor sentiment for the stock market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 33-46, December.
    16. Jung Park, Yuen & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "The impacts of overseas market shocks on the CDS-option basis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 622-636.
    17. Lee, Jaeram & Lee, Geul & Ryu, Doojin, 2018. "Difference in the intraday return-volume relationships of spots and futures: A quantile regression approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-68, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    18. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Chung, Kee H. & Park, Seongkyu “Gilbert” & Ryu, Doojin, 2016. "Trade duration, informed trading, and option moneyness," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 395-411.
    20. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Forecasting the KOSPI200 spot volatility using various volatility measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 156-166.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:42:y:2022:i:1:p:61-76. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.