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Comprehensive Macro Ï¿½ Model For The Us Economy

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Author Info

  • Ivan O. KITOV
  • Oleg I. KITOV
  • Svetlana A. DOLINSKAYA

Abstract

We present a comprehensive macroeconomic model for the US There exist strict long�term relations between real GDP, price inflation, labor force participation, productivity, and unemployment. The evolution of real GDP depends only on exogenous demographic forces. Other macro�variables follow up the real GDP. The links between the variables have been valid during the last several decades. All relations were (successfully) tested for cointegration. Statistical estimates are also presented. The relationships allow a reliable prediction of the macroeconomic state at very large (more than 9 years) time horizons.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova in its journal Journal of Applied Economic Sciences.

Volume (Year): 3 (2008)
Issue (Month): 4(6)_Winter2008 ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:ush:jaessh:v:3:y:2008:i:4(6)_winter2008:39

Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www2.spiruharet.ro/facultati/facultate.php?id=14
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Related research

Keywords: US economy; GDP; inflation; unemployment; labor force; productivity; demography;

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Cited by:
  1. Kitov, Ivan, 2009. "The anti-Phillips curve," MPRA Paper 13641, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg, 2009. "Modelling and predicting labor force productivity," MPRA Paper 15152, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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