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Latin American growth cycles. Empirical evidence: 1960 - 2000

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Author Info
Ana María Cerro
José Pineda
Abstract

This paper measures and explains to what extent Latin American countries’ growth cycles experienced co-movement in the last forty years, using different methodologies. We find that short lasting cycles showed a great dispersion among cyclical correlation, while long lasting ones displayed considerable co-movement. From the structural VAR approach, the results imply a very low degree of co-movement among the shocks affecting these economies. There exist important differences regarding the speed of adjustment and the excess volatility of demand shocks. Processes of integration among Latin-American countries need more policy coordination prior to any attempt to go further in an economic integration process.

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File URL: http://econ.uchile.cl/public/Archivos/pub/7ea0e789-0b55-4f5a-ac9b-69912ffc62f5.pdf
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Article provided by University of Chile, Department of Economics in its journal Estudios de Economia.

Volume (Year): 29 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 Year 2002 (June)
Pages: 89-108
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Handle: RePEc:udc:esteco:v:29:y:2002:i:1:p:89-108

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Related research
Keywords: Trend-cycle decomposition; Common cycles; Cointegration.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Chow, Gregory C & Lin, An-loh, 1971. "Best Linear Unbiased Interpolation, Distribution, and Extrapolation of Time Series by Related Series," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 53(4), pages 372-75, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Issler, Joao Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "Common cycles and the importance of transitory shocks to macroeconomic aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 449-475, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Vahid, F & Engle, Robert F, 1993. "Common Trends and Common Cycles," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(4), pages 341-60, Oct.-Dec.. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Reinhart, Carmen & Calvo, Guillermo & Leiderman, Leonardo, 1993. "“Capital Inflows and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Latin America: The Role of External Factors," MPRA Paper 7125, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Gerald Carlino & Keith Sill, 2001. "Regional Income Fluctuations: Common Trends And Common Cycles," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(3), pages 446-456, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Engle, Robert F & Kozicki, Sharon, 1993. "Testing for Common Features," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(4), pages 369-80, October.
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  7. Proietti, Tommaso, 1997. "Short-Run Dynamics in Cointegrated Systems," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(3), pages 405-22, August.
  8. Engle, Robert F. & Issler, Joao Victor, 1995. "Estimating common sectoral cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 83-113, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Engle, Robert F & Kozicki, Sharon, 1993. "Testing for Common Features: Reply," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(4), pages 393-95, October.
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