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Macroeconomic effect of capital controls as a safeguard against the capital inflow problem

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  • Shigeto Kitano

Abstract

Concerns that a rapid surge in capital inflow leads to loss of autonomy in macroeconomic policy, and that its reversal has significant negative effects on an economy, have motivated capital controls during the 1990s. Under a fixed exchange rate system without capital-account restrictions, a decrease in world nominal interest rates causes in a small open economy a deterioration in the current account, real exchange rate appreciation, and inflationary pressure, as pointed out by Calvo et al. (1994, 1996). This paper examines macroeconomic effects of capital-account restrictions as a policy response to the capital inflow problem under fixed exchange rates. Theoretical analysis shows that capital-account restrictions not only stem the capital inflow but also reverse the associated macroeconomic effects. The model implies that capital-account restrictions are effective measures against the capital inflow problem of emerging markets in the 1990s.

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  • Shigeto Kitano, 2004. "Macroeconomic effect of capital controls as a safeguard against the capital inflow problem," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 233-263.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:13:y:2004:i:3:p:233-263
    DOI: 10.1080/0963819042000240011
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    Cited by:

    1. Shigeto Kitano & Kenya Takaku, 2018. "Capital Controls, Monetary Policy, And Balance Sheets In A Small Open Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 859-874, April.

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