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The Relationship between Housing Market Intervention for First-Time Buyers and House Price Volatility

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  • Chyi Lin Lee
  • Richard G. Reed

Abstract

Declining homeownership rates as observed in many western countries have direct and indirect implications for the broader economy; hence, governments have been seeking an effective solution to address this decline. One of the major challenges is the decline in overall homeownership rates with an increasing proportion of households deciding to rent rather than purchase. However, it is surprising that the impact on the housing market following the introduction of a first-time housing subsidy scheme has received relatively little attention. This study addresses this knowledge gap by examining the relationship between (1) housing market intervention based on first-time owner subsidies in a global city and (2) the level of house price volatility in the broader market. For example, the Australian government has implemented different policies designed to ease housing stress among first-time buyers; one high-profile policy was the First-time buyer Grant or First Home Owner Grant (FHOG) in which a cash payment or subsidy is given to new first-time buyers as a direct incentive. Based on a case study approach, an analysis is undertaken of the first-time buyer policy where an innovative approach using the E-GARCH model is employed to assess the effect of the scheme on the housing market. The findings indicated that the FHOG scheme offered a stabilisation effect on the housing market. In addition, there is evidence to support implementation of the FHOG scheme as an effective scheme to enhance housing affordability of first-time buyers. The findings offer a rare insight into the effectiveness of the FHOG scheme in enhancing housing affordability and also maintaining price stabilisation in the broader housing market.

Suggested Citation

  • Chyi Lin Lee & Richard G. Reed, 2014. "The Relationship between Housing Market Intervention for First-Time Buyers and House Price Volatility," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(8), pages 1073-1095, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:chosxx:v:29:y:2014:i:8:p:1073-1095
    DOI: 10.1080/02673037.2014.927420
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mark Stephens, 2012. "Tackling Housing Market Volatility in the UK. Part I: Long- and Short-term Volatility," International Journal of Housing Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 367-380.
    2. Rosen, Harvey S., 1985. "Housing subsidies: Effects on housing decisions, efficiency, and equity," Handbook of Public Economics, in: A. J. Auerbach & M. Feldstein (ed.), Handbook of Public Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 7, pages 375-420, Elsevier.
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    Cited by:

    1. Suleiman Ahmad Abubakar & Othman Mahmod & Daud Hanita & Abdullah Mohd Lazim & Kadir Evizal Abdul & Kane Ibrahim Lawal & Husin Abdullah, 2023. "Forecasting the Volatility of Real Residential Property Prices in Malaysia: A Comparison of Garch Models," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 31(3), pages 20-31, September.
    2. Ikenna Stephen Ezennia & Sebnem Onal Hoskara, 2019. "Methodological weaknesses in the measurement approaches and concept of housing affordability used in housing research: A qualitative study," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-27, August.
    3. Zhou, Zhengyi, 2018. "Housing market sentiment and intervention effectiveness: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 91-110.
    4. Abbas Valadkhani & Russell Smyth, 2017. "Self-exciting effects of house prices on unit prices in Australian capital cities," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(10), pages 2376-2394, August.
    5. Wang, Jianing & Lee, Chyi Lin, 2022. "The value of air quality in housing markets: A comparative study of housing sale and rental markets in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    6. IKM Mokhtarul Wadud & Omar H. M. N. Bashar & Huson Joher Ali Ahmed & William Dimovski, 2022. "Property price dynamics and asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty: New evidence from the Australian capital cities," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(4), pages 4359-4380, December.
    7. Zheng, Xian & Chen, Xingtao & Yuan, Ziqing, 2021. "Exploring the spatial spillover effect of home purchase restrictions on residential land prices based on the difference-in-differences approach: Evidence from 195 Chinese cities," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Jian Liang & Kang Mo Koo & Chyi Lin Lee, 2021. "Transportation infrastructure improvement and real estate value: impact of level crossing removal project on housing prices," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(6), pages 2969-3011, December.
    9. Paraskevi Katsiampa & Kyriaki Begiazi, 2019. "An empirical analysis of the Scottish housing market by property type," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(4), pages 559-583, September.
    10. Ming-Te Lee & Chyi Lin Lee & Ming-Long Lee & Chien-Ya Liao, 2017. "Price linkages between Australian housing and stock markets," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(2), pages 305-323, April.
    11. Chyi Lin Lee, 2017. "An examination of the risk-return relation in the Australian housing market," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(3), pages 431-449, June.
    12. Shahab Valaei Sharif & Dawn Cassandra Parker & Paul Waddell & Ted Tsiakopoulos, 2023. "Understanding the Effects of Market Volatility on Profitability Perceptions of Housing Market Developers," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-34, October.

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