IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/joamsc/v53y2025i1d10.1007_s11747-024-01054-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Marketing inputs and outcome heterogeneity: Using a quantile regression framework in the entertainment industry

Author

Listed:
  • Alexa B. Burmester

    (Kühne Logistics University)

  • Michel Clement

    (University of Hamburg)

  • Jan U. Becker

    (Kühne Logistics University)

  • Cord Otten

    (University of Hamburg)

Abstract

The success of entertainment products such as movies or books varies tremendously, and managers strive to increase the odds by deciding on the right marketing input. Aiming to improve managerial decision making, we suggest and test a quantile regression framework to detect outcome heterogeneity effects of marketing inputs in the entertainment industry. By analyzing the spread of the .9 and the .1 conditioned quantile to the .5 (median) conditioned quantile, we study how much an increase (decrease) of an input factor (star power and quality) changes the spread of the expected outcome (revenues and sales). The spread serves as an indicator for the heterogeneity effect of the input factor regarding the outcome. In two empirical studies, we show how marketing instruments increase (or decrease) outcome heterogeneity by estimating quantile regressions and provide generalizable findings regarding the outcome heterogeneity effects of star power (increases outcome heterogeneity) and quality evaluations (reduces outcome heterogeneity) in the entertainment industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexa B. Burmester & Michel Clement & Jan U. Becker & Cord Otten, 2025. "Marketing inputs and outcome heterogeneity: Using a quantile regression framework in the entertainment industry," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 232-254, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joamsc:v:53:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s11747-024-01054-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01054-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11747-024-01054-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11747-024-01054-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dominique M. Hanssens, 2018. "The value of empirical generalizations in marketing," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 6-8, January.
    2. Anita Elberse & Jehoshua Eliashberg, 2003. "Demand and Supply Dynamics for Sequentially Released Products in International Markets: The Case of Motion Pictures," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 22(3), pages 329-354.
    3. Clement, Michel & Wu, Steven & Fischer, Marc, 2014. "Empirical generalizations of demand and supply dynamics for movies," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 207-223.
    4. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    5. Raul A. Barreto & Anthony W. Hughes, 2004. "Under Performers and Over Achievers: A Quantile Regression Analysis of Growth," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 80(248), pages 17-35, March.
    6. Christina Schmidt-Stolting & Eva Blomeke & Michel Clement, 2011. "Success Drivers of Fiction Books: An Empirical Analysis of Hardcover and Paperback Editions in Germany," Journal of Media Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 24-47.
    7. Andrea Schöndeling & Alexa B. Burmester & Alexander Edeling & André Marchand & Michel Clement, 2023. "Marvelous advertising returns? A meta-analysis of advertising elasticities in the entertainment industry," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 51(5), pages 1019-1045, September.
    8. Jehoshua Eliashberg & Anita Elberse & Mark A.A.M. Leenders, 2006. "The Motion Picture Industry: Critical Issues in Practice, Current Research, and New Research Directions," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 25(6), pages 638-661, 11-12.
    9. Yubo Chen & Jinhong Xie, 2005. "Third-Party Product Review and Firm Marketing Strategy," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 24(2), pages 218-240, February.
    10. Karniouchina, Ekaterina V., 2011. "Impact of star and movie buzz on motion picture distribution and box office revenue," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 62-74.
    11. Amit M. Joshi & Dominique M. Hanssens, 2009. "Movie Advertising and the Stock Market Valuation of Studios: A Case of “Great Expectations?”," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 28(2), pages 239-250, 03-04.
    12. M. Bagella & L. Becchetti, 1999. "The Determinants of Motion Picture Box Office Performance: Evidence from Movies Produced in Italy," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 23(4), pages 237-256, November.
    13. Ramya Neelamegham & Pradeep Chintagunta, 1999. "A Bayesian Model to Forecast New Product Performance in Domestic and International Markets," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 18(2), pages 115-136.
    14. Ann-Kristin Knapp & Thorsten Hennig-Thurau, 2015. "Does 3D Make Sense for Hollywood? The Economic Implications of Adding a Third Dimension to Hedonic Media Products," Journal of Media Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 100-118, June.
    15. Caroline Elliott & Rob Simmons, 2008. "Determinants of UK Box Office Success: The Impact of Quality Signals," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 33(2), pages 93-111, September.
    16. Angela Liu & Yong Liu & Tridib Mazumdar, 2014. "Star power in the eye of the beholder: A study of the influence of stars in the movie industry," Marketing Letters, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 385-396, December.
    17. Julian Hofmann & Michel Clément & Franziska Völckner & Thorsten Hennig-Thurau, 2017. "Empirical Generalizations on the Impact of Stars on the Economic Success of Movies," Post-Print hal-01991308, HAL.
    18. Peter Doyle & John Saunders, 1990. "Multiproduct Advertising Budgeting," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(2), pages 97-113.
    19. Hofmann, Julian & Clement, Michel & Völckner, Franziska & Hennig-Thurau, Thorsten, 2017. "Empirical generalizations on the impact of stars on the economic success of movies," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 442-461.
    20. Gerda Gemser & Martine Oostrum & Mark Leenders, 2007. "The impact of film reviews on the box office performance of art house versus mainstream motion pictures," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 31(1), pages 43-63, March.
    21. Stock, James H & Wright, Jonathan H & Yogo, Motohiro, 2002. "A Survey of Weak Instruments and Weak Identification in Generalized Method of Moments," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(4), pages 518-529, October.
    22. Jehoshua Eliashberg & Sam K. Hui & Z. John Zhang, 2007. "From Story Line to Box Office: A New Approach for Green-Lighting Movie Scripts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(6), pages 881-893, June.
    23. Edlira Shehu & Tim Prostka & Christina Schmidt-Stölting & Michel Clement & Eva Blömeke, 2014. "The influence of book advertising on sales in the German fiction book market," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 38(2), pages 109-130, May.
    24. Christina Hofmann-Stölting & Michel Clement & Steven Wu & Sönke Albers, 2017. "Sales Forecasting of New Entertainment Media Products," Journal of Media Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 143-171, July.
    25. Mohanbir S. Sawhney & Jehoshua Eliashberg, 1996. "A Parsimonious Model for Forecasting Gross Box-Office Revenues of Motion Pictures," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 15(2), pages 113-131.
    26. Thorsten Hennig-Thurau & Mark Houston & Gianfranco Walsh, 2007. "Determinants of motion picture box office and profitability: an interrelationship approach," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 65-92, April.
    27. Pradeep K. Chintagunta & Shyam Gopinath & Sriram Venkataraman, 2010. "The Effects of Online User Reviews on Movie Box Office Performance: Accounting for Sequential Rollout and Aggregation Across Local Markets," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 29(5), pages 944-957, 09-10.
    28. Amit Joshi, 2015. "Movie Stars and the Volatility of Movie Revenues," Journal of Media Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 246-267, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jordi McKenzie, 2023. "The economics of movies (revisited): A survey of recent literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 480-525, April.
    2. Hofmann, Julian & Clement, Michel & Völckner, Franziska & Hennig-Thurau, Thorsten, 2017. "Empirical generalizations on the impact of stars on the economic success of movies," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 442-461.
    3. Ronny Behrens & Natasha Zhang Foutz & Michael Franklin & Jannis Funk & Fernanda Gutierrez-Navratil & Julian Hofmann & Ulrike Leibfried, 2021. "Leveraging analytics to produce compelling and profitable film content," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 45(2), pages 171-211, June.
    4. Angela (Xia) Liu & Tridib Mazumdar & Bo Li, 2015. "Counterfactual Decomposition of Movie Star Effects with Star Selection," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(7), pages 1704-1721, July.
    5. Bae, Giwoong & Kim, Hye-jin, 2019. "The impact of movie titles on box office success," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 100-109.
    6. Delre, Sebastiano A. & Panico, Claudio & Wierenga, Berend, 2017. "Competitive strategies in the motion picture industry: An ABM to study investment decisions," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 69-99.
    7. Schulz, Petra & Shehu, Edlira & Clement, Michel, 2019. "When consumers can return digital products: Influence of firm- and consumer-induced communication on the returns and profitability of news articles," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 454-470.
    8. Kang, Lili & Peng, Fei & Anwar, Sajid, 2022. "All that glitters is not gold: Do movie quality and contents influence box-office revenues in China?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 492-510.
    9. Fei Peng & Lili Kang & Sajid Anwar & Xue Li, 2019. "Star power and box office revenues: evidence from China," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 43(2), pages 247-278, June.
    10. Lee, Youseok & Kim, Sang-Hoon & Cha, Kyoung Cheon, 2021. "Impact of online information on the diffusion of movies: Focusing on cultural differences," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 603-609.
    11. Brianna JeeWon Paulich & V. Kumar, 2021. "Relating entertainment features in screenplays to movie performance: an empirical investigation," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 49(6), pages 1222-1242, November.
    12. Moez Hababou & Nawel Amrouche & Kamel Jedidi, 2016. "Measuring Economic Efficiency in the Motion Picture Industry: a Data Envelopment Analysis Approach," Customer Needs and Solutions, Springer;Institute for Sustainable Innovation and Growth (iSIG), vol. 3(3), pages 144-158, December.
    13. Rouven Seifert & Cord Otten & Michel Clement & Sönke Albers & Ole Kleinen, 2023. "Exclusivity strategies for digital products across digital and physical markets," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 245-265, March.
    14. Wei, Liyuan & Yang, Yupin, 2022. "An empirical investigation of director selection in movie preproduction: A two-sided matching approach," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 888-906.
    15. Gazley, Aaron & Clark, Gemma & Sinha, Ashish, 2011. "Understanding preferences for motion pictures," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 64(8), pages 854-861, August.
    16. Clement, Michel & Wu, Steven & Fischer, Marc, 2014. "Empirical generalizations of demand and supply dynamics for movies," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 207-223.
    17. François A. Carrillat & Renaud Legoux & Allègre L. Hadida, 2018. "Debates and assumptions about motion picture performance: a meta-analysis," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 273-299, March.
    18. Sven Heidenreich & Franziska Handrich & Tobias Kraemer, 2023. "Flawless victory! Investigating search and experience qualities as antecedent predictors of video game success," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 33(1), pages 1-20, December.
    19. Rubin, Dan & Mohr, Iris & Kumar, V., 2022. "Beyond the box office: A conceptual framework for the drivers of audience engagement," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 473-488.
    20. Leenders, Mark A.A.M. & Eliashberg, Jehoshua, 2011. "The antecedents and consequences of restrictive age-based ratings in the global motion picture industry," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 367-377.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:joamsc:v:53:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s11747-024-01054-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.