IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/grdene/v24y2015i3d10.1007_s10726-014-9417-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Numerical Methods to Calculate Fuzzy Boundaries for Brownfield Redevelopment Negotiations

Author

Listed:
  • Qian Wang

    (Oracle Corporation)

  • D. Marc Kilgour

    (Wilfrid Laurier University)

  • Keith W. Hipel

    (University of Waterloo)

Abstract

A numerical method is proposed to represent the likelihood of contamination of a brownfield using fuzzy boundaries, and then to estimate the parameters in a fuzzy real options model for brownfield evaluation from different decision maker perspectives. These different values can be used to facilitate negotiations on redevelopment projects. Linguistic quantifiers and ordered weighted averaging (OWA) techniques are utilized to determine the pollution likelihood at sample locations based on multiple environmental indicators. Risk preferences of decision makers are expressed as different “orness” levels of OWA operators, which affect likelihood estimates. When the fuzzy boundary of a brownfield is generated by interpolation of sample points, the parameters of fuzzy real options, drift rate and volatility, can be calculated as fuzzy numbers. Hence, this proposed method can act as an intermediate between decision makers and the fuzzy real options models, making this model much easier to apply. A potential negotiation support system (NSS) implementing these numerical methods is discussed in the context of negotiating brownfield redevelopment projects. A public–private-partnership will be enhanced through information sharing, scenario generation, and conflict analysis provided by the NSS, encouraging more efficient brownfield redevelopment and leading to greater regional sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Qian Wang & D. Marc Kilgour & Keith W. Hipel, 2015. "Numerical Methods to Calculate Fuzzy Boundaries for Brownfield Redevelopment Negotiations," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 515-536, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:grdene:v:24:y:2015:i:3:d:10.1007_s10726-014-9417-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10726-014-9417-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10726-014-9417-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10726-014-9417-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jacek Malczewski & Claus Rinner, 2005. "Exploring multicriteria decision strategies in GIS with linguistic quantifiers: A case study of residential quality evaluation," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 249-268, June.
    2. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    3. D. Allen & N. Schuurman & Q. Zhang, 2007. "Using fuzzy logic for modeling aquifer architecture," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 289-310, September.
    4. Ronald R. Yager, 2007. "Multi-Agent Negotiation Using Linguistically Expressed Mediation Rules," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-23, January.
    5. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt43n1k4jb, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    6. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 113-147.
    7. James E. Smith & Robert F. Nau, 1995. "Valuing Risky Projects: Option Pricing Theory and Decision Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 41(5), pages 795-816, May.
    8. Ke, Hua & Liu, Baoding, 2007. "Project scheduling problem with mixed uncertainty of randomness and fuzziness," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 183(1), pages 135-147, November.
    9. Gregory E. Kersten & Hsiangchu Lai, 2007. "Negotiation Support and E-negotiation Systems: An Overview," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 16(6), pages 553-586, November.
    10. Lentz, George H & Tse, K S Maurice, 1995. "An Option Pricing Approach to the Valuation of Real Estate Contaminated with Hazardous Materials," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 121-144, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jing Yu & Ling-Ling Pei, 2018. "Investigation of a Brownfield Conflict Considering the Strength of Preferences," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-11, February.
    2. Alfred Benedikt Brendel & Friedrich Chasin & Milad Mirbabaie & Dennis M. Riehle & Christine Harnischmacher, 2022. "Review of Design-Oriented Green Information Systems Research," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-33, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Seiji Harikae & James S. Dyer & Tianyang Wang, 2021. "Valuing Real Options in the Volatile Real World," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(1), pages 171-189, January.
    2. Lin Zhao & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 2013. "A Real Option Perspective on Valuing Gas Fields," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-126/VI/DSF60, Tinbergen Institute.
    3. James E. Smith, 2005. "Alternative Approaches for Solving Real-Options Problems," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 2(2), pages 89-102, June.
    4. Zhu, Lei & Zhang, ZhongXiang & Fan, Ying, 2015. "Overseas oil investment projects under uncertainty: How to make informed decisions?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 742-762.
    5. Lin Zhao & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 2017. "Decision-making in incomplete markets with ambiguity—a case study of a gas field acquisition," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(11), pages 1759-1782, November.
    6. Philipp N. Baecker, 2007. "Real Options and Intellectual Property," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-48264-2, December.
    7. Zhu, Lei & Fan, Ying, 2011. "A real options–based CCS investment evaluation model: Case study of China’s power generation sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(12), pages 4320-4333.
    8. Pringles, Rolando & Olsina, Fernando & Penizzotto, Franco, 2020. "Valuation of defer and relocation options in photovoltaic generation investments by a stochastic simulation-based method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 846-864.
    9. Gabriel J Power & Charli D. Tandja M. & Josée Bastien & Philippe Grégoire, 2015. "Measuring infrastructure investment option value," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 16(1), pages 49-72, January.
    10. Mo, Jian-Lei & Schleich, Joachim & Zhu, Lei & Fan, Ying, 2015. "Delaying the introduction of emissions trading systems—Implications for power plant investment and operation from a multi-stage decision model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 255-264.
    11. Arvesen, Ø. & Medbø, V. & Fleten, S.-E. & Tomasgard, A. & Westgaard, S., 2013. "Linepack storage valuation under price uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 155-164.
    12. Abdullah Almansour and Margaret Insley, 2016. "The Impact of Stochastic Extraction Cost on the Value of an Exhaustible Resource: An Application to the Alberta Oil Sands," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    13. Linnerud, Kristin & Andersson, Ane Marte & Fleten, Stein-Erik, 2014. "Investment timing under uncertain renewable energy policy: An empirical study of small hydropower projects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 154-164.
    14. Schwartz, Eduardo S., 2002. "Patents and R& D as Real Options," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt86b1n43k, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    15. Luis M. Abadie & José M. Chamorro, 2009. "Monte Carlo valuation of natural gas investments," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(1), pages 10-22, January.
    16. David Laughton & Raul Guerrero & Donald Lessard, 2008. "Real Asset Valuation: A Back‐to‐basics Approach," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 20(2), pages 46-65, March.
    17. Mo, Jian-Lei & Agnolucci, Paolo & Jiang, Mao-Rong & Fan, Ying, 2016. "The impact of Chinese carbon emission trading scheme (ETS) on low carbon energy (LCE) investment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 271-283.
    18. Tubetov, Dulat & Maart, Syster Christin & Musshoff, Oliver, 2012. "Comparison of the investment behavior of Kazakhstani and German farmers: An experimental approach," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124650, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    19. Haehl, Christian & Spinler, Stefan, 2018. "Capacity expansion under regulatory uncertainty:A real options-based study in international container shipping," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 75-93.
    20. Lei Zhu & ZhongXiang Zhang & Ying Fan, 2011. "An evaluation of overseas oil investment projects under uncertainty using a real options based simulation model," Economics Study Area Working Papers 121, East-West Center, Economics Study Area.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:grdene:v:24:y:2015:i:3:d:10.1007_s10726-014-9417-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.