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Modeling tourism demand: Theoretical and empirical considerations for future research

Author

Listed:
  • Tarik Dogru

    (7823Florida State University, USA)

  • Umit Bulut

    (187470Kirsehir Ahi Evran University, Turkey)

  • Ercan Sirakaya-Turk

    (2629University of South Carolina, USA)

Abstract

Although tourism literature is replete with tourism demand studies, numerous empirical and theoretical issues remain unresolved. The majority of the extant studies center around replication of well-established theory of tourism demand with applications of contemporary empirical techniques for different sets of tourist-originating and receiving countries. However, the application of empirical techniques, especially panel data methods that are utilized to model tourism demand, seems to be arbitrarily chosen without due consideration of theoretical and empirical ramifications. The purpose of this study is to present a critical review of the tourism demand literature. We assessed the theoretical and methodological inaccuracies when modeling tourism demand in general and when applying panel data models in particular. We provided a guide to application of panel data techniques when modeling tourism demand. The article ends with discussions of an agenda for future research to fill the gaps in the extant literature and advance tourism demand research.

Suggested Citation

  • Tarik Dogru & Umit Bulut & Ercan Sirakaya-Turk, 2021. "Modeling tourism demand: Theoretical and empirical considerations for future research," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 874-889, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:27:y:2021:i:4:p:874-889
    DOI: 10.1177/1354816619894460
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    Cited by:

    1. Frank Wogbe Agbola & Tarik Dogru & Ulrich Gunter, 2020. "Tourism Demand: Emerging Theoretical and Empirical Issues," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1307-1310, December.
    2. Emrah Kocak & Fevzi Okumus & Mehmet Altin, 2023. "Global pandemic uncertainty, pandemic discussion and visitor behaviour: A comparative tourism demand estimation for the US," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(5), pages 1225-1250, August.
    3. Martin Falk & Eva Hagsten & Xiang Lin, 2023. "Uneven domestic tourism demand in times of pandemic," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 596-611, May.
    4. Bulatovic, Iva & Papatheodorou, Andreas, 2023. "Civil aviation and tourism demand in Montenegro: A panel data approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 25-36.
    5. Nikeel N Kumar & Arvind Patel & Rup Singh, 2022. "Modelling tourism competitiveness in small Pacific island countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 692-713, May.

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