IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/touman/v63y2017icp268-276.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The determinants of Chinese visitors to Australia: A dynamic demand analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Pham, Tien Duc
  • Nghiem, Son
  • Dwyer, Larry

Abstract

Although China has progressively become an important inbound tourism market for Australia, its demand elasticities have been little studied to date. This study examines the determinants of Chinese visitors to Australia using a dynamic time-series estimator. Interesting findings include a high income elasticity as a source of the continuous doubledigit growth rates in Chinese arrivals that Australia has experienced over the past two decades, together with relatively high total trip price elasticities for both short run and long run. A trend of Chinese outbound to Australia is also identified. From a policy perspective, the results confirm that keeping a low cost of visiting Australia, both ground and travel costs, is a good strategy to secure greater numbers of Chinese tourists.

Suggested Citation

  • Pham, Tien Duc & Nghiem, Son & Dwyer, Larry, 2017. "The determinants of Chinese visitors to Australia: A dynamic demand analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 268-276.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:touman:v:63:y:2017:i:c:p:268-276
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2017.06.015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261517717301383
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tourman.2017.06.015?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pham, Tien & Jago, Leo & Spurr, Ray & Marshall, Justin, 2015. "The Dutch Disease effects on tourism – The case of Australia," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 610-622.
    2. Witt, Stephen F. & Witt, Christine A., 1995. "Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 447-475, September.
    3. N. Kulendran, 1996. "Modelling Quarterly Tourist Flows to Australia Using Cointegration Analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 2(3), pages 203-222, September.
    4. Li, Gang & Song, Haiyan & Cao, Zheng & Wu, Doris Chenguang, 2013. "How competitive is Hong Kong against its competitors? An econometric study," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 247-256.
    5. Lim, Christine & McAleer, Michael & Min, Jennifer C.H., 2009. "ARMAX modelling of international tourism demand," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 2879-2888.
    6. Kulendran, N. & King, Maxwell L., 1997. "Forecasting international quarterly tourist flows using error-correction and time-series models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 319-327, September.
    7. Divisekera, Sarath, 1995. "An Econometric Model of International Visitor Flows to Australia," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(65), pages 291-308, December.
    8. Christine Lim & Michael McAleer, 2001. "Modelling the Determinants of International Tourism Demand to Australia," ISER Discussion Paper 0532, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    9. Seetaram, Neelu, 2012. "Immigration and international inbound tourism: Empirical evidence from Australia," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1535-1543.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Halley Yudhistira & Yusuf Sofiyandi & Witri Indriyani & Andhika Putra Pratama, 2021. "Heterogeneous effects of visa exemption policy on international tourist arrivals: Evidence from Indonesia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 703-720, June.
    2. Vatsa, Puneet, 2020. "Comovement amongst the demand for New Zealand tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Tien Duc Pham & Son Nghiem & Larry Dwyer, 2018. "The economic impacts of a changing visa fee for Chinese tourists to Australia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(1), pages 109-126, February.
    4. Ru Jia & Shanshan Wang, 2021. "Investigating the Impact of Professional and Nonprofessional Hosts’ Pricing Behaviors on Accommodation-Sharing Market Outcome," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-16, November.
    5. Tarik Dogru & Umit Bulut & Ercan Sirakaya-Turk, 2021. "Modeling tourism demand: Theoretical and empirical considerations for future research," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 874-889, June.
    6. Xueying Huang & Yuanjun Han & Xuhong Gong & Xiangyan Liu, 2020. "Does the belt and road initiative stimulate China’s inbound tourist market? An empirical study using the gravity model with a DID method," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(2), pages 299-323, March.
    7. Saroja Selvanathan & Maneka Jayasinghe & Eliyathamby A. Selvanathan, 2023. "Deteriorating Australia-China relations and prospects for the Australian tourism industry: A dynamic demand analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(8), pages 2012-2031, December.
    8. Chi-Wei Su & Xian-Li Meng & Ran Tao & Muhammad Umar, 2023. "Chinese consumer confidence: A catalyst for the outbound tourism expenditure?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 696-717, May.
    9. Charbel Bassil & Ghialy Yap, 2024. "Can immigration moderate the adverse effects of political instability on international tourism? A case study of Australia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(2), pages 477-497, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Saroja Selvanathan & Maneka Jayasinghe & Eliyathamby A. Selvanathan, 2023. "Deteriorating Australia-China relations and prospects for the Australian tourism industry: A dynamic demand analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(8), pages 2012-2031, December.
    2. Nada Kulendran & Sarath Divisekera, 2007. "Measuring the Economic Impact of Australian Tourism Marketing Expenditure," Tourism Economics, , vol. 13(2), pages 261-274, June.
    3. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
    4. Gunter, Ulrich & Önder, Irem, 2015. "Forecasting international city tourism demand for Paris: Accuracy of uni- and multivariate models employing monthly data," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 123-135.
    5. James E. Payne & Andrea Mervar, 2002. "A Note on Modelling Tourism Revenues in Croatia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 8(1), pages 103-109, March.
    6. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2006. "Are Australia's tourism markets converging?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1153-1162.
    7. Muhammad Shafiullah & Luke Emeka Okafor & Usman Khalid, 2019. "Determinants of international tourism demand: Evidence from Australian states and territories," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(2), pages 274-296, March.
    8. Athanasopoulos, George & Hyndman, Rob J. & Song, Haiyan & Wu, Doris C., 2011. "The tourism forecasting competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 822-844.
    9. Chien-Ming Wang & Su-Lan Pan & Alastair M. Morrison & Tsung-Pao Wu, 2022. "The dynamic linkages among outbound tourism, economic growth, and international trade: empirical evidence from China," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(11), pages 1-18, November.
    10. Yılmaz, Engin, 2015. "Forecasting tourist arrivals to Turkey," MPRA Paper 68616, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Chukiat Chaiboonsri & Prasert Chaitip & N. Rangaswamy, 2008. "A Panel Unit Root and Panel Cointegration Test of the Modeling International Tourism Demand in India," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, vol. 8(1), pages 95-124.
    12. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2004. "Fiji's Tourism Demand: The ARDL Approach to Cointegration," Tourism Economics, , vol. 10(2), pages 193-206, June.
    13. Houssine Choyakh, 2008. "A Model of Tourism Demand for Tunisia: Inclusion of the Tourism Investment Variable," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(4), pages 819-838, December.
    14. Song, Haiyan & Witt, Stephen F. & Jensen, Thomas C., 2003. "Tourism forecasting: accuracy of alternative econometric models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 123-141.
    15. Davide Provenzano, 2020. "The migration–tourism nexus in the EU28," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1374-1393, December.
    16. William Veloce, 2004. "Forecasting Inbound Canadian Tourism: An Evaluation of Error Corrections Model Forecasts," Tourism Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 263-280, September.
    17. Han Liu & Ying Liu & Yonglian Wang & Changchun Pan, 2019. "Hot topics and emerging trends in tourism forecasting research: A scientometric review," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 448-468, May.
    18. Bonham, Carl & Gangnes, Byron & Zhou, Ting, 2009. "Modeling tourism: A fully identified VECM approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 531-549, July.
    19. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A regional perspective on the accuracy of machine learning forecasts of tourism demand based on data characteristics”," AQR Working Papers 201802, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Apr 2018.
    20. Nicholas Apergis & Andrea Mervar & James E. Payne, 2017. "Forecasting disaggregated tourist arrivals in Croatia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(1), pages 78-98, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:touman:v:63:y:2017:i:c:p:268-276. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/tourism-management .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.