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Can Trade with the People’s Republic of China Be an Engine of Growth for Developing Asia

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  • Park, Donghyun

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Shin, Kwanho

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

The recession in the United States in the wake of the global financial crisis has dampened developing Asia’s exports and growth. As a result, developing Asia is looking increasingly to the People’s Republic of China (PRC) as a source of demand and growth. This paper empirically assesses the PRC’s potential an engine of growth for developing Asia. The most significant finding is that the share of final goods in the PRC’s imports from East and Southeast Asia has been growing while the share of parts and components has been shrinking, suggesting that the PRC is becoming more of a consumer and less of an assembler. This provides some grounds for optimism about the prospects of trade with the PRC as a source of resilience against extraregional demand shocks in the short run and an additional source of growth in the long run.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Asian Development Bank in its journal Asian Development Review.

Volume (Year): 27-1 (2010)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 160-181

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Handle: RePEc:ris:adbadr:2716

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  1. Barry Eichengreen & Yeongseop Rhee & Hui Tong, 2007. "China and the Exports of Other Asian Countries," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 143(2), pages 201-226, July.
  2. Prema-chandra Athukorala, 2005. "Product Fragmentation and Trade Patterns in East Asia," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 4(3), pages 1-27, October.
  3. Prema-chandra Athukorala & Nobuaki Yamashita, 2005. "Production Fragmentation and Trade Integration: East Asia in a Global Context," Departmental Working Papers 2005-07, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
  4. Prema-chandra Athukorala & Archanun Kohpaiboon, 2009. "Intra-Regional Trade in East Asia: The Decoupling Fallacy, Crisis, and Policy Challenges," Departmental Working Papers 2009-09, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
  5. Marcus Noland, 1995. "China and the International Economic System," Working Paper Series WP95-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
  6. Borrus, Michael, 1997. "Left for Dead: Asian Production Networks and the Revival of US Electronics," UCAIS Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy, Working Paper Series qt2db8s8x6, UCAIS Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy, UC Berkeley.
  7. Drusilla K. Brown & Alan Deardorff & Robert Stern, 2004. "The Effects of Multinational Production on Wages and Working Conditions in Developing Countries," NBER Chapters, in: Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the Economics, pages 279-330 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Greenaway, David & Mahabir, Aruneema & Milner, Chris, 2008. "Has China displaced other Asian countries' exports?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 152-169, June.
  9. Jane T. Haltmaier & Shaghil Ahmed & Brahima Coulibaly & Ross Knippenberg & Sylvain Leduc & Mario Marazzi & Beth Anne Wilson, 2007. "The role of China in Asia: engine, conduit, or steamroller?," International Finance Discussion Papers 904, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  10. Kimura, Fukunari & Ando, Mitsuyo, 2005. "Two-dimensional fragmentation in East Asia: Conceptual framework and empirics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 317-348.
  11. Pula, Gabor & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2009. "Has emerging Asia decoupled? An analysis of production and trade linkages using the Asian international input-output table," Working Paper Series 0993, European Central Bank.
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Cited by:
  1. Jesus Felipe, 2010. "Asia and the Global Crisis: Recovery Prospects and the Future," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_619, Levy Economics Institute.
  2. Prema-chandra Athukorala & Nobuaki Yamashita, 2005. "Production Fragmentation and Trade Integration: East Asia in a Global Context," Departmental Working Papers 2005-07, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
  3. Yiping Huang & Bijun Wang, 2011. "From the Asian Miracle to an Asian Century? Economic Transformation in the 2000s and Prospects for the 2010s," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Hugo Gerard & Jonathan Kearns (ed.), The Australian Economy in the 2000s Reserve Bank of Australia.
  4. Park, Donghyun & Shin, Kwanho, 2009. "The People’s Republic of China as an Engine of Growth for Developing Asia? Evidence from Vector Autoregression Models," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 175, Asian Development Bank.
  5. Dierk Herzer & Peter Nunnenkamp, 2011. "FDI and Income Inequality: Evidence from Europe," Kiel Working Papers 1675, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

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