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Factors Affecting Regional Per-Capita Carbon Emissions in China Based on an LMDI Factor Decomposition Model

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  • Feng Dong
  • Ruyin Long
  • Hong Chen
  • Xiaohui Li
  • Qingliang Yang

Abstract

China is considered to be the main carbon producer in the world. The per-capita carbon emissions indicator is an important measure of the regional carbon emissions situation. This study used the LMDI factor decomposition model–panel co-integration test two-step method to analyze the factors that affect per-capita carbon emissions. The main results are as follows. (1) During 1997, Eastern China, Central China, and Western China ranked first, second, and third in the per-capita carbon emissions, while in 2009 the pecking order changed to Eastern China, Western China, and Central China. (2) According to the LMDI decomposition results, the key driver boosting the per-capita carbon emissions in the three economic regions of China between 1997 and 2009 was economic development, and the energy efficiency was much greater than the energy structure after considering their effect on restraining increased per-capita carbon emissions. (3) Based on the decomposition, the factors that affected per-capita carbon emissions in the panel co-integration test showed that Central China had the best energy structure elasticity in its regional per-capita carbon emissions. Thus, Central China was ranked first for energy efficiency elasticity, while Western China was ranked first for economic development elasticity.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng Dong & Ruyin Long & Hong Chen & Xiaohui Li & Qingliang Yang, 2013. "Factors Affecting Regional Per-Capita Carbon Emissions in China Based on an LMDI Factor Decomposition Model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(12), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0080888
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0080888
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    7. Yan Li & Yigang Wei & Zhang Dong, 2020. "Will China Achieve Its Ambitious Goal?—Forecasting the CO 2 Emission Intensity of China towards 2030," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-23, June.
    8. Feng Dong & Jingyun Li & Yue-Jun Zhang & Ying Wang, 2018. "Drivers Analysis of CO 2 Emissions from the Perspective of Carbon Density: The Case of Shandong Province, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-24, August.
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