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Aid, Disbursement Delays, and the Real Exchange Rate

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  • Alexandra Jarotschkin
  • Aart Kraay

Abstract

Aid donors and recipients have long been concerned that aid inflows may lead to an appreciation of the real exchange rate and an associated loss of competitiveness. This paper provides new evidence of the dynamic effects of aid on the real exchange rate, using an identification strategy that exploits the long delays between the approval of aid projects and the subsequent disbursements on them. These disbursement delays enable the isolation of a source of variation in aid inflows that plausibly is uncorrelated with contemporaneous macroeconomic shocks that may drive both aid and the real exchange rate. Using this predetermined component of aid as an instrument, there is little evidence that aid inflows lead to significant real exchange rate appreciations.

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  • Alexandra Jarotschkin & Aart Kraay, 2016. "Aid, Disbursement Delays, and the Real Exchange Rate," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 64(2), pages 217-238, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:64:y:2016:i:2:p:217-238
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    Cited by:

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    2. Carter, Patrick, 2017. "Aid econometrics: Lessons from a stochastic growth model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 216-232.
    3. Dzhumashev, Ratbek & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2021. "Foreign aid and the quality of economic institutions," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Muhammad Amir Ingratubun, 2021. "Dutch Curse on Indonesia: The Morality of Asian Development Bank (ADB) Loan Projects," Scientia Moralitas Conference Proceedings 01251, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    5. Ilaski Barañano & Marta San Martín, 2015. "The Impact of Foreign Aid Linked to Infrastructure and Pollution Abatement," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(4), pages 667-686, September.
    6. Nathaniel P. S. Cook & Jason C. Jones, 2021. "The African Growth and Opportunity Act and growth in sub‐Saharan Africa: A local projection approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 234-261, January.
    7. Francesca G. Caselli & Agustin Roitman, 2019. "Nonlinear exchange‐rate pass‐through in emerging markets," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 279-306, December.

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