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Impacts of Ethanol Expansion on Cropping Patterns and Grain Flows

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  • William W. Wilson
  • Won Koo
  • Bruce Dahl
  • Richard Taylor

Abstract

Ethanol expansion has the prospect of having major impacts on cropping patterns and the spatial distribution of grain flows. These changes are in addition to those being driven by developments elsewhere in the world grain economy, including growth in consumption (e.g., China) and production in alternative regions such as Northern Brazil. This article develops a spatial optimization model based on longer-term competitive equilibrium to make projections about cropping patterns and grain shipments from individual ports. Most important among these trends are a shift in area toward corn and away from wheat, a reduction in corn exports, an increase in exports from competitor countries, and changes in domestic and international grain flows.

Suggested Citation

  • William W. Wilson & Won Koo & Bruce Dahl & Richard Taylor, 2008. "Impacts of Ethanol Expansion on Cropping Patterns and Grain Flows," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 30(4), pages 642-663.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revage:v:30:y:2008:i:4:p:642-663.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1467-9353.2008.00438.x
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    1. Amani Elobeid & Simla Tokgoz & Dermot J. Hayes & Bruce A. Babcock & Chad E. Hart, 2006. "Long-Run Impact of Corn-Based Ethanol on the Grain, Oilseed, and Livestock Sectors: A Preliminary Assessment, The," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 06-bp49, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    2. Wilson, William W. & DeVuyst, Eric A. & Taylor, Richard D. & Dahl, Bruce L. & Koo, Won W., 2007. "Longer-Term Forecasting Of Grain Flows And Delay Costs On The Mississippi River," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 9237, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
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    3. Sparks, G.D. & Ortmann, Gerald F. & Lagrange, L., 2010. "An Economic Evaluation of Soybean-Based Biodiesel Production on Commercial Farms in the Soybean-Producing Regions of KwaZulu-Natal: Some Preliminary Results," 2010 AAAE Third Conference/AEASA 48th Conference, September 19-23, 2010, Cape Town, South Africa 95980, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).

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