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Hedging cryptocurrency options

Author

Listed:
  • Jovanka Lili Matic

    (Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin)

  • Natalie Packham

    (Berlin School of Economics and Law)

  • Wolfgang Karl Härdle

    (Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
    Singapore Management University
    National University of Singapore
    National Yang-Ming Chiao Tung University)

Abstract

The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study the hedge behaviour and effectiveness for the class of affine jump diffusion models and infinite activity Lévy processes. First, market data is calibrated to stochastic volatility inspired-implied volatility surfaces to price options. To cover a wide range of market dynamics, we generate Monte Carlo price paths using an stochastic volatility with correlated jumps model, a close-to-actual-market GARCH-filtered kernel density estimation as well as a historical backtest. In all three settings, options are dynamically hedged with Delta, Delta–Gamma, Delta–Vega and Minimum Variance strategies. Including a wide range of market models allows to understand the trade-off in the hedge performance between complete, but overly parsimonious models, and more complex, but incomplete models. The calibration results reveal a strong indication for stochastic volatility, low jump frequency and evidence of infinite activity. Short-dated options are less sensitive to volatility or Gamma hedges. For longer-dated options, tail risk is consistently reduced by multiple-instrument hedges, in particular by employing complete market models with stochastic volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Jovanka Lili Matic & Natalie Packham & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2023. "Hedging cryptocurrency options," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 91-133, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:revdev:v:26:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11147-023-09194-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11147-023-09194-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Elisa Al`os & Eulalia Nualart & Makar Pravosud, 2023. "On the implied volatility of Inverse and Quanto Inverse options under stochastic volatility models," Papers 2401.00539, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cryptocurrency options; Hedging; Bitcoin; Digital finance; Volatile markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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