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Estimating Market Values from Appraised Values without Assuming an Efficient Market

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Author Info
David M. Geltner () (Department of Finance College of Business Administration University of Cincinnati Cincinnati, Ohio 45221-0195)
Abstract

This paper represents an approach to recovering the underlying market value returns from observable appraisal-based index returns, without presupposing or constraining the market value returns to be unpredictable or uncorrelated across time. A structural/behavioral model is developed relating the publicly reported index returns to the underlying market returns. The procedure presented here explicitly corrects for appraisal smoothing at the disaggregate level, as well as for the aggregate index construction effects of temporal aggregation and seasonality of reappraisals. This procedure is applied to the Russell-NCREIF and Evaluation Associates Index returns to generate estimated series of market values and market returns for unsecuritized institutional-grade commercial properties in the United States.

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File URL: http://cbe-web-1.fullerton.edu/finance/journal/papers/pdf/past/vol08n03/v08p325.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal Journal of Real Estate Research.

Volume (Year): 8 (1993)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 325-346
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Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:8:n:3:1993:p:325-346

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Postal: American Real Estate Society College of Business & Public Administration Florida Atlantic University MacArthur Campus, 5353 Parkside Drive Jupiter FL 33458
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Postal: Donna Cooper American Real Estate Society College of Business & Public Administration Florida Atlantic University MacArthur Campus, 5353 Parkside Drive Jupiter FL 33458
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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  1. Raimond Maurer, 2003. "Institutional Investors in Germany: Insurance Companies and Investment Funds," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/14, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ping Cheng & Alan J. Ziobrowski & Royce W. Caines & Brigette J. Ziobrowski, 1999. "Uncertainty and Foreign Real Estate Investment," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 18(3), pages 463-480. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Jim Clayton, 1996. "Market Fundamentals, Risk and the Canadian Property Cycle: Implications for Property Valuation and Investment Decisions," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 12(3), pages 347-368. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Alan J. Ziobrowski & Harry McAlum & Brigitte J. Ziobrowski, 1996. "Taxes and Foreign Real Estate Investment," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 11(2), pages 197-213. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Joseph L. Pagliari, Jr. & James R. Webb, 1995. "A Fundamental Examination of Securitized and Unsecuritized Real Estate," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(4), pages 381-426. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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