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Price Formation and the Appraisal Function in Real Estate Markets

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Author Info
Quan, Daniel C
Quigley, John M

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Abstract

A real estate market model characterized by incomplete information, costly search, and varying expectations is presented. The model describes a self-selection process for market participants and a distribution of transaction prices. These transaction prices, which arise from a Nash equilibrium, can be expressed as a noisy signal, reflecting incomplete information as well as the conditions of sale. The appraiser's role is formalized as the task of signal extraction. The model emphasizes the differences in information available to individual buyers and sellers, who make transactions only infrequently, and the appraiser, whose expertise comes from observing many transactions. Based on the model, it is shown that contrary to popular perceptions, appraisal smoothing is consistent with an optimal updating strategy. Copyright 1991 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Real Estate Finance & Economics.

Volume (Year): 4 (1991)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 127-46
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Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:4:y:1991:i:2:p:127-46

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  1. Timothy Riddiough & Paul Childs & Steven Ott, 2001. "Noise, Real Estate Markets, and Options on Real Assets: Theory," Wisconsin-Madison CULER working papers 01-07, University of Wisconsin Center for Urban Land Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jeff Fisher & David Geltner & Henry Pollakowski, 2007. "A Quarterly Transactions-based Index of Institutional Real Estate Investment Performance and Movements in Supply and Demand," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 5-33, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Jinliang Li & Robert M. Mooradian & Shiawee X. Yang, 2009. "The Information Content of the NCREIF Index," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 31(1), pages 93-116. [Downloadable!]
  4. Patric H. Hendershott & Bryan D. MacGregor, 2003. "Investor Rationality: Evidence from UK Property Capitalization Rates," NBER Working Papers 9894, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. M. Baroni & F. Barthélémy & M. Mokrane, 2004. "Which Capital Growth Index for the Paris Residential Market?," THEMA Working Papers 2004-04, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
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  6. George H. Lentz & Ko Wang, 1998. "Residential Appraisal and the Lending Process: A Survey of Issues," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 15(1), pages 11-40. [Downloadable!]
  7. David M. Geltner, 1993. "Estimating Market Values from Appraised Values without Assuming an Efficient Market," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 8(3), pages 325-346. [Downloadable!]
  8. Julian Diaz, III, 1997. "An Investigation into the Impact of Previous Expert Value Estimates on Appraisal Judgment," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 13(1), pages 57-66. [Downloadable!]
  9. Shaun A. Bond & Soosung Hwang & Gianluca Marcato, 2006. "An Analysis of Commercial Real Estate Returns: Is there a Smoothing Puzzle?," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers rep-wp2006-17, Henley Business School, Reading University. [Downloadable!]
  10. Neil Crosby, 2007. "German Open Ended Funds: Was there a Valuation Problem?," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers rep-wp2007-05, Henley Business School, Reading University. [Downloadable!]
  11. James R. Webb & K.W. Chau & L.H. Li, 1997. "Past and Future Sources of Real Estate Returns in Hong Kong," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 13(3), pages 251-272. [Downloadable!]
  12. Min Hwang & John Quigley, 2002. "Price Discovery in Time and Space: The Course of Condominium Prices in Singapore," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series 1040, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Huyen Nguyen-Thi-Thanh & Georges Gallais-Hamonno & Thi H.V. Hoang, 2008. "Faut-il corriger les rentabilités des hedge funds?," Post-Print halshs-00106400_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  14. Peijie Wang, Colin Lizieri, George Matysiak, 1997. "Information asymmetry, long-run relationship and price discovery in property investment markets," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 261-275, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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